Stock Analysis | The Trade Desk Outlook - A Bearish Technical Picture and Mixed Analyst Outlook

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: The Trade Desk (TTD) is currently facing a bearish technical landscape with a weak score of 1.43 (internal diagnostic score 0-10), suggesting caution for potential investors.

News Highlights

Recent industry news indicates significant shifts in the media and entertainment sector driven by technological innovation and changing consumer preferences. Key highlights include:

• "Top 4 Trends Set to Disrupt the Media Industry in 2025" (Dec 2024): The report highlights the growing battle for audience attention and the rise of personalized, on-demand content that is reshaping traditional media models.
• "Interactive Media Market Size to Hit USD 135.83 Bn By 2032" (Jun 2025): This projection indicates a 14.20% CAGR growth in the interactive media market, signaling potential long-term opportunities in digital platforms and interactive services.
• "Perspectives: Global E&M Outlook 2025–2029" (Jul 2025): The entertainment and media (E&M) industry is expected to grow to $3.5 trillion by 2029, with new modes of value creation and technology shaping the landscape.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score: 3.80 (simple mean of ratings).

Weighted Rating Score: 2.87 (performance-weighted average).

Rating Consistency: Analysts have shown mixed views, with 7 out of 15 recent ratings being "Neutral," 4 "Strong Buy," and 4 "Buy."

The weighted rating of 2.87 aligns with a negative price trend, as the stock has fallen by -41.36% in the recent period. This suggests that the market is largely bearish despite some optimistic analyst calls.

Key Fundamental Factors:

• Net Profit Margin (NPM): 12.99% with a model score of 3.00 (internal diagnostic score 0-10).
• Cash Flow from Operating Activities (CFOA): 2.77% with a model score of 3.00 (internal diagnostic score 0-10).
• Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company Shareholders / Net Profit (%): 100.00% with a model score of 3.00 (internal diagnostic score 0-10).
• Quick Ratio: 2.41 with a model score of 2.00 (internal diagnostic score 0-10).

Money-Flow Trends

Despite the bearish technical indicators, the fund-flow analysis shows some positive trends. The overall fund-flow score is 7.80 (internal diagnostic score 0-10), indicating a good flow of capital. Here's a breakdown:

• Small Inflows: 49.21%
• Medium Inflows: 50.13%
• Large Inflows: 50.50%
• Extra-Large Inflows: 48.03%

However, the overall trend is still negative, with large and extra-large institutional investors showing a mixed trend. This could indicate uncertainty among major players about the company's future performance.

Key Technical Signals

The technical analysis for The Trade Desk is currently bearish. The technical score is 1.43 (internal diagnostic score 0-10), and the overall trend is weak. The key indicators include:

• WR Oversold: Score of 1.85 (internal diagnostic score 0-10). This indicator is in a neutral bias but has shown negative returns historically (avg return -0.36%, win rate 43.55%).
• RSI Oversold: Score of 1.00 (internal diagnostic score 0-10). This is a strong bearish signal with a poor historical performance (avg return -2.58%, win rate 22.22%).

Over the past 5 days, the WR Oversold and RSI Oversold indicators have appeared frequently, especially on 2025-08-13, 2025-08-12, and 2025-08-14. These signals suggest that the stock is in a weak position and investors should remain cautious.

Conclusion

Given the bearish technical signals and mixed analyst ratings, it may be prudent for investors to consider waiting for a clearer trend or a pull-back before entering the market. While the fundamentals show some strength in profitability and cash flow, the recent price decline and weak technical indicators suggest caution. Watch for further analyst updates and any potential earnings reports for better clarity on the stock's direction.