Stock Analysis | Teradyne Outlook - Navigating Volatility Amid Bullish Signals

Market Snapshot

Headline takeaway: Teradyne (TER) faces a mixed short-term technical environment with bullish signals outweighing bearish ones, but the trend remains unclear. Stance: Moderate attention needed.

News Highlights

Recent headlines highlight the evolving dynamics in the semiconductor sector. McKinsey's analysis on US tariff policy emphasizes the potential risks and opportunities for the industry, while Japan's proposal for U.S. collaboration in rare earths and semiconductors could reshape global supply chains. Additionally, the US Semiconductors ETF SOXX experienced a significant net outflow of $750M in May, signaling a shift in investor sentiment toward crypto markets. These developments underscore the importance of geopolitical and regulatory factors on Teradyne’s future performance.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

On the analyst front, the simple average rating is 3.80 and the performance-weighted rating is 4.62, indicating a relatively optimistic outlook, with “There are differences” in the ratings. The current price trend has risen by 4.25%, aligning with the market’s optimistic expectations.

Key fundamental factors include a net profit attributable to parent company shareholders / net profit of 100.0% (internal diagnostic score: 10.00) and a net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate) of -95.06% (internal diagnostic score: 1.00). Meanwhile, the EV/EBIT is 91.39 (internal diagnostic score: 10.00), while the total profit YoY growth rate is -30.18% (internal diagnostic score: 1.00).

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money flows are mixed: while medium and small inflows are positive, large and extra-large inflows are negative. The overall inflow ratio is 44.99%, suggesting a cautious stance by institutional investors. Retail investors, however, show a small inflow ratio of 52.82%, indicating optimism among individual traders.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, Teradyne’s overall trend is in technical neutrality with 3 bullish indicators and 1 bearish indicator. The technical score is 6.08, reflecting moderate attention.

• WR Overbought (internal diagnostic score: 1.00) has appeared multiple times in the last five days, indicating a potential bearish bias.
• Bullish Engulfing (internal diagnostic score: 8.12) was observed on 2025-09-02, a strong bullish signal.
• Ex-Dividend Date (internal diagnostic score: 7.60) and Dividend Record Date (internal diagnostic score: 7.60) occurred on 2025-09-05, suggesting a positive impact from shareholder events.

Chart patterns suggest volatility, but bullish signals dominate the recent period.

Conclusion

Teradyne is in a technically neutral but volatile phase with mixed signals. Investors should consider waiting for a pull-back before committing to new positions, especially as market expectations are optimistic but the price trend is not clearly defined. Keep an eye on upcoming earnings and broader semiconductor industry developments.