Stock Analysis | Teledyne Outlook - Technical Neutrality and Mixed Analyst Signals
Market Snapshot
Teledyne (TDY) is in technical neutrality with mixed signals suggesting caution for now. The stock is showing a slight price rise (0.29%) but lacks a strong directional bias according to technical indicators.
News Highlights
Recent headlines include:
- Texas Instruments' $30B Sherman expansion aims to support a 53-acre mixed-use development for workers. The company is nearing completion of its first semiconductor fabrication plant in the area, signaling strong industrial demand.
- European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde emphasized the bank's preparedness to use all tools to maintain financial and price stability amid global tariff developments, which could indirectly influence market sentiment.
- EDS Detectors Market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.2% through 2031, with major players like Thermo Fisher ScientificTMO-- and BrukerBRKR-- leading the charge. This could benefit TeledyneTDY-- through sector tailwinds.
Analyst Views & Fundamentals
Analysts have issued mixed signals, with two major ratings in the past 20 days—Strong Buy from UBSUBS-- and Neutral from Morgan StanleyMS--. The simple average rating is 4.00, while the performance-weighted rating is 2.41, indicating weaker historical performance behind the higher expectations. Analysts are not in strong agreement (ratings dispersed), which contrasts with the stock's upward price trend.
Fundamental Highlights
- EV/EBIT: 67.50x (internal diagnostic score: 2.00). This suggests higher valuation relative to earnings, which could concern value investors.
- ROE: 2.03% (score: 2.00). A low return on equity implies weaker profitability relative to shareholder equity.
- Annualized Return on Total Assets: 7.29% (score: 2.00). This shows moderate asset efficiency.
- EBIT/Total Operating Revenue: 18.03% (score: 2.00). A healthy operating margin, though the score reflects broader negative valuation signals.
- Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.31% (score: 2.00). Indicates strong ability to cover interest expenses.
Money-Flow Trends
Big money is flowing out, with all categories (extra-large to small) showing negative trends. The overall fund-flow ratio is 0.45, and the score is 7.52 (internal diagnostic score: 7.52), suggesting a relatively good performance in the context of a negative overall trend. While institutional money is leaving, the strength of the score implies the outflows might not yet signal panic.
Key Technical Signals
Teledyne's technical indicators are mixed:
- WR Oversold (score: 8.75): Suggesting strong bullish potential, with 80% historical win rate.
- WR Overbought (score: 3.48): Mixed signal, with a 52.5% win rate.
- Bullish Engulfing (score: 7.74): Strong bullish signal, historically associated with 75% win rate.
- Bearish Engulfing (score: 1.00): A red flag, with only 28.57% win rate.
- Marubozu White (score: 4.08): A neutral-to-bullish signal with 53.33% historical success.
Recent chart patterns include a Bullish Engulfing on 2025-08-19 and a Marubozu White on 2025-08-26, showing potential for upward movement but no clear confirmation yet.
Key insight: Technical indicators are split, with long and short signals relatively balanced, suggesting a wait-and-see stance. Momentum remains unclear, and volatility is high.
Conclusion
With mixed technical signals and divergent analyst ratings, Teledyne (TDY) remains in a holding pattern. While bullish patterns like WR Oversold and Bullish Engulfing show internal diagnostic strength, bearish signals and weak fundamentals temper optimism. Investors may want to consider waiting for a clearer breakout or improved earnings visibility before committing capital. For now, a watchful eye on market changes and upcoming sector-related news is warranted.
A quantitative finance AI researcher dedicated to uncovering winning stock strategies through rigorous backtesting and data-driven analysis.
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