Stock Analysis | Teledyne Outlook - Technical Neutrality Amid Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Teledyne (TDY) is in technical neutrality, with mixed analyst ratings and weak fundamentals pulling the stock in different directions. Recent price trends show a -2.82% decline, while internal diagnostic scores from technical analysis stand at 5.58 out of 10—suggesting a cautious "wait-and-see" stance for now.

News Highlights

Recent developments affecting Teledyne and the broader market include:

• Texas Instruments' Expansion: A $30 billion expansion in Sherman, Texas, is drawing attention as a mixed-use project is underway to support the growing workforce. Though not directly related to Teledyne, the broader semiconductor industry environment could impact Teledyne’s supply chain and demand dynamics.
• EDS Detectors Market Growth: The EDS Detectors market is forecasted to expand at a CAGR of 8.2% through 2031, with key players including Bruker and Oxford Instruments. Teledyne’s instrumentation business could benefit from this trend, though the direct link remains unclear.
• ECB's Policy Stance: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde reaffirmed the bank's readiness to use all tools to stabilize prices and financial markets. While this is global macro news, it underscores the potential for policy-driven volatility affecting Teledyne’s international operations.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts remain divided, with recent ratings showing a simple average of 4.00 and a performance-weighted average of 2.41. The dispersion of views ("There are differences") indicates a lack of consensus, and both the average ratings and the recent price trend of -2.82% align in a bearish direction.

Key fundamental values include:

• Return on Total Assets (ROA): 3.64% (score: 2.74)
• Return on Equity (ROE): 2.03% (score: 2.74)
• Annualized ROA: 7.29% (score: 2.74)
• EBIT / Interest Expense (Interest Coverage): 15.31% (score: 2.74)
• EBIT / Operating Revenue: 18.03% (score: 2.74)

These fundamentals reflect mixed health, with some metrics showing moderate strength (like interest coverage) but overall earnings and profitability metrics suggesting a weaker story.

Money-Flow Trends

Teledyne's recent fund flow patterns show negative trends across all investor sizes, with inflow ratios below 50% for both small and large investors. The overall inflow ratio is 48.6%, indicating a net outflow of capital. Retail investors are also withdrawing, with a Small_inflow_ratio of 48.7% and a block_inflow_ratio of 48.6%. This suggests a loss of investor confidence across all levels.

Key Technical Signals

Teledyne’s technical indicators remain mixed, with bullish and bearish signals nearly balanced over the last five days. Here’s how our internal diagnostic scores break down:

• WR Oversold: Score of 8.68 — historically a strong bullish signal with a 78.57% win rate and an average return of 1.5%.
• Long Lower Shadow: Score of 7.8 — shows bullish bias, with a 100% win rate over two signals.
• MACD Death Cross: Score of 7.5 — indicates a neutral rise, with an average return of 0.27% and a 72.73% win rate.
• Bearish Engulfing: Score of 1.61 — a strong bearish signal, with a 37.5% win rate and average loss of -0.5%.
• Marubozu White: Score of 3.56 — neutral, with a 50% win rate and negligible return.
• Earnings Release Date: Score of 4.34 — a mild neutral indicator with an average 0.95% return and 50% win rate.

Recent chart patterns include a Long Lower Shadow and WR Oversold signals, both on bullish sides, while Bearish Engulfing and Marubozu White have added bearish pressure. Technical indicators suggest a volatile but directionally unclear period, with momentum not strong enough to support a clear bullish or bearish move.

Conclusion

Consider waiting for a pull-back before entering a position in Teledyne (TDY). While there are signs of short-term bullish bias in some indicators, the overall technical and fundamental landscape remains mixed. With a weak price trend (-2.82%), low average analyst ratings, and a bearish sentiment in money flows, Teledyne appears to be in a consolidation phase. Investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings and any follow-up analyst commentary for clearer direction.