Stock Analysis | Pool Outlook - Technical Weakness and Mixed Analyst Sentiment

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: The technical outlook for Pool is weak, with 8 bearish signals and no bullish ones over the last 5 days.

News Highlights

Here are the top recent news items:

• Brown-Forman Names New Distributors Across 13 Markets: Brown-Forman announced new distributors in 13 markets starting August 1. This could impact the broader market, but direct influence on Pool is unclear.
• Phillip Morris Trains Distributors to Prevent Sale of Cigarettes to Minors: This news, while significant in the consumer sector, does not directly relate to Pool.
• ETF Assets in Asia Pacific Reach a Record High: ETFGI reports that ETF assets in the Asia Pacific (excluding Japan) hit a new high of $1.25 trillion at the end of April. This could indirectly affect market sentiment for stocks like Pool, but the connection is tenuous at this point.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score (Simple Mean): 3.50

Weighted Rating Score (Performance-Weighted): 2.31

Ratings Consistency: There are differences in analyst sentiment, with one "Buy" and one "Neutral" rating over the past 20 days.

Price Trend Alignment: The stock is currently falling by 1.70%, and the weighted expectations align with this downward trend.

Key Fundamental Factor Values:

• Net profit margin (%): 8.68% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• Annualized return on equity (%): 38.53% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• ROE (diluted) (YoY growth rate %): 16.46% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• Net profit / Total operating revenue (%): 8.68% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• Current liabilities / Total liabilities (%): 34.05% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• Cash-MV: 0.05% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• Cash-UP: 0.24% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)
• Asset-liability ratio (%): 64.62% (internal diagnostic score: 9.58)

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money investors are showing a negative trend, with an overall inflow ratio of 0.4955, and a block inflow ratio of 0.4938. This suggests that institutional investors are cautious or bearish on the stock. In contrast, retail investors (small) are showing a positive trend with an inflow ratio of 0.5074. This divergence could indicate that while big money is pulling back, smaller retail investors are still interested in the stock.

Key Technical Signals

The technical outlook for Pool is weak, with 8 bearish indicators and no bullish ones over the last 5 days. Here's a breakdown of some key signals:

• WR Overbought: This indicator has an internal diagnostic score of 1.00, indicating a bearish bias.
• RSI Overbought: With a score of 1.00, this also indicates a bearish signal.
• MACD Death Cross: Score of 2.79, which is more neutral in bias.
• Ex-Dividend Date: Bearish signal with a score of 1.00.

Recent Chart Patterns:

• On 2025-08-21: MACD Death Cross
• On 2025-08-13: WR Overbought, RSI Overbought, MACD Golden Cross
• On 2025-08-15: Bearish Engulfing
• On 2025-08-14: WR Overbought, Ex-Dividend Date, Dividend Record Date
• On 2025-08-28: Bearish Engulfing, Dividend Payable Date

Momentum Summary: The technical momentum is clearly bearish, with bearish signals dominating and no strong bullish indicators emerging. Investors are advised to avoid the stock based on these signals.

Conclusion

Given the weak technical outlook, mixed analyst sentiment, and a bearish money-flow trend, it may be best to wait for a clearer signal or avoid the stock for now. Investors should monitor any upcoming earnings or developments from Pool that might offer further insight into the company's performance and future direction.