Stock Analysis | Mondelez Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Views

1. Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Mondelez is showing signs of weakness on the technical side with no bullish signals and a current price rise that appears to be at odds with the broader bearish trend.

2. News Highlights

• Diabetic Food Market Growth: A recent report suggests the diabetic food market is expected to grow significantly, reaching USD 24.86 billion by 2033. As a global snack giant, Mondelez may benefit from this shift toward low-sugar, low-carb products.
• Processed Food Exports Surge: India’s processed food exports hit $2.13 billion in April, a 15% YoY increase. While this doesn’t directly impact Mondelez, it signals a global trend in food production and export growth that could affect the broader market.
• Rich Products Baileys Partnership: Global food company Rich Products has partnered with Bailey's for new product innovations. Such partnerships could signal increased competition in the snack and confectionery markets.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score: 3.67 (simple mean).

Weighted Rating Score: 2.56 (performance-weighted).

Rating Consistency: Analysts are not aligned; there are differences in their ratings, with two "Buy" ratings and one "Neutral" rating recently.

While the current price is up by 0.49%, the average and weighted ratings suggest a more cautious stance. The mixed signals from analysts could lead to volatility, making it a less attractive investment for risk-averse investors.

• Annualized Return on Equity: 7.85% (score: 3)
• Net Profit Margin: 5.74% (score: 2)
• ROA (Return on Assets): 0.91% (score: 1)
• CFOA (Cash Flow from Operations): 0.43% (score: 2)

Mondelez’s fundamentals remain mixed, with strong ROE but weak ROA and CFOA suggesting room for improvement in asset efficiency and operational cash generation. While the net profit margin is positive, it is not particularly strong.

4. Money-Flow Trends

Big-money investors are showing a net negative trend, with large and extra-large investors withdrawing. However, small and medium investors are still showing some inflows, with a small inflow ratio of 0.5086 and a medium inflow ratio of 0.5004. Overall, the fund flow score is 7.64 (internal diagnostic score, good), indicating some retail support despite the bearish trend.

5. Key Technical Signals

The technical outlook for Mondelez is weak, with four bearish signals and no bullish ones. Below are the latest internal diagnostic scores for the key indicators:

• WR Overbought: 1.2 (internal diagnostic score) – bearish signal
• WR Oversold: 2.57 (internal diagnostic score) – neutral bias
• MACD Golden Cross: 1.0 (internal diagnostic score) – bearish signal
• RSI Oversold: 1.91 (internal diagnostic score) – bearish signal

Recent chart patterns include a MACD Golden Cross on 2025-08-20 and a WR Overbought signal on 2025-08-22. These mixed signals do not provide strong support for a bullish trade. The overall trend is bearish, with weak momentum and a high risk of further decline.

6. Conclusion

Mondelez is currently in a challenging position with mixed analyst views, weak technical indicators, and a bearish trend. While the fundamentals show some strength in return on equity, the technical side remains a red flag. Investors may want to consider avoiding the stock for now or watching for a potential pull-back. The fund flow data suggests retail support, but large investors are withdrawing, which could lead to further downward pressure. A clearer breakout signal or strong earnings report could change this outlook, but for now, the signals suggest caution.