Stock Analysis | Mondelez Outlook - Bearish Momentum Amid Mixed Analyst Sentiment

Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Mondelez (MDLZ) is underperforming with bearish technical signals and a 5.70% recent price drop.

News Highlights

Recent headlines highlight trends in the food industry and global food policy:

• DoorDash's CEO Tony Xu continues to expand the delivery giant’s footprint, having acquired Deliveroo for $3.9 billion—showing how food delivery platforms are consolidating, potentially affecting Mondelez’s broader food-to-go segment.
• The diabetic food market is expected to grow significantly to $24.86 billion by 2033, driven by demand for low-sugar and low-carb products. This could benefit Mondelez, which already offers snack alternatives.
• India’s processed food exports surged 15% in April 2025 to $2.13 billion, indicating a strong global appetite for packaged food products. This could indirectly support Mondelez’s international sales.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score (Simple Mean): 3.86

Weighted Rating Score (Performance-Weighted): 1.67

Analyst Consistency: Dispersed, with ratings ranging from “Strong Buy” to “Underperform.”

Price Trend vs. Expectations: The stock has fallen -5.70%, and the weighted analyst expectations align with this bearish move.

Fundamental Highlights (with internal diagnostic scores):

• Return on Equity (ROE): 7.85% (Internal diagnostic score: 3)
• Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio: 161.73 (Internal diagnostic score: 3)
• Net Income to Revenue: -20.63% (Internal diagnostic score: 4)
• Net Profit Margin (NPM): 7.17% (Internal diagnostic score: 3)
• Return on Assets (ROA): 0.91% (Internal diagnostic score: 3)
• Revenue-to-Market Value: 24.13% (Internal diagnostic score: 2)

Money-Flow Trends

Mondelez's fund-flow patterns show mixed signals. Large institutional investors are trending negative (block trend), with an overall inflow ratio of 0.41, meaning more money is flowing out than in.

• Small investors (retail) are showing a positive trend, with an inflow ratio of 0.51.
• Medium and large investors are also mixed: medium (0.51), large (0.52), and extra-large (0.36) inflow ratios.
• Internal fund-flow score is 7.25 (good), suggesting retail optimism despite institutional caution.

Key Technical Signals

Technical indicators for Mondelez remain bearish, with two key signals flashing oversold conditions over the last five days:

• Williams %R (WR) Oversold: Internal diagnostic score: 2.39, suggesting weak internal strength.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oversold: Internal diagnostic score: 1.87, indicating even weaker internal momentum.

Recent Chart Patterns (by date):

• 2025-08-11: WR Oversold, RSI Oversold
• 2025-08-06: WR Oversold, RSI Oversold
• 2025-08-05: WR Oversold, RSI Oversold

Key Insights: Technical indicators show a weak market state with a high risk of decline. Bearish signals are dominant (2 vs 0 bullish), and the overall trend is suggested to be avoided due to poor momentum.

Conclusion

Mondelez is caught between weak technical signals and mixed analyst sentiment. While fundamentals show some strength, the stock is underperforming and facing bearish momentum. Investors may consider waiting for a pull-back or re-evaluating exposure until clearer signals emerge. For now, the internal diagnostic score for technicals is only 2.13, and fundamentals remain a cautious area to watch closely.