Stock Analysis | International Flavors & Fragrances Outlook - Technical Weakness and Mixed Analyst Signals
Market Snapshot
Headline Takeaway: International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF) is showing signs of technical weakness, with mixed analyst signals and a recent price decline of -8.88%. Investors should remain cautious.
News Highlights
Recent news affecting the broader market includes:
- Shell's Chemicals Unit Struggles: Shell is grappling with losses in its chemical division and is considering drastic cost-cutting measures, which could indirectly impact the industry environment for IFF.
- FTX Staking Amid Bankruptcy: FTX’s staking of $125 million in Ethereum and Solana amid its bankruptcy proceedings raises concerns about asset liquidity and transparency, potentially affecting broader market sentiment.
- Boeing Machinists' Contract Vote: Boeing’s machinists are set to vote on a new contract, with potential strike action that could ripple into the industrial and manufacturing sectors, including chemical suppliers like IFF.
Analyst Views & Fundamentals
The analyst consensus for IFF is mixed, with a simple average rating of 5.00 and a performance-weighted rating of 0.00, reflecting the poor historical performance of the only active analyst, Ivan Feinseth from Tigress Financial. Feinseth has a 0% win rate and a -3.55% average return from his recent 1 prediction.
This contrasts sharply with the current price trend, which is negative (-8.88%), suggesting that the market may be overreacting to the bearish signals and analyst caution.
Key fundamental factors and their internal diagnostic scores (0-10) are as follows:
- Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities per Share (YoY Growth Rate %): 28.09% (score: 1.00)
- Equity Multiplier: 214.50% (score: 2.00)
- PE Ratio: -6.06 (score: 2.00)
- Total Profit / EBIT %: 107.69% (score: 2.00)
- Cash-UP: -105.37% (score: 3.00)
- CFOA: 0.45% (score: 1.00)
- Total Assets Turnover Ratio: 9.99% (score: 1.00)
- Cost of Sales Ratio %: 63.59% (score: 1.00)
- Current Ratio: 187.39% (score: 2.00)
- Cash-MV: -20.24% (score: 0.00)
Money-Flow Trends
Money-flow analysis reveals a negative overall trend, with large and extra-large investors showing cautious behavior. The inflow ratios for different investor segments are:
- Small Investors: 51.84% inflow (positive trend)
- Medium Investors: 48.55% inflow (negative trend)
- Large Investors: 48.35% inflow (negative trend)
- Extra-Large Investors: 45.05% inflow (negative trend)
The overall inflow ratio is 46.79%, which is slightly negative. The fund-flow score is 7.71, indicating a generally good flow pattern despite the bearish technical indicators.
Key Technical Signals
The technical analysis for IFF is not encouraging. The technical score is 4.2, with an internal diagnostic score (0-10) indicating weakness.
Key technical indicators and their internal scores are:
- WR Overbought: 3.01 (internal diagnostic score)
- WR Oversold: 3.08 (internal diagnostic score)
- MACD Death Cross: 6.5 (internal diagnostic score)
Recent chart patterns include:
- July 23, 2025: WR Overbought
- July 22, 2025: WR Overbought
- July 29, 2025: MACD Death Cross
- July 30, 2025: WR Oversold
- July 31, 2025: WR Oversold
Key insights suggest that the market is in a consolidation phase, with more bearish indicators (2) than bullish ones (0). The overall trend is technically weak, and the momentum is not strong enough to break out of the current range.
Conclusion
Given the technical weakness and mixed analyst signals, investors should consider waiting for a clearer breakout or a pull-back before entering or adding to positions in IFF. The current environment appears to be one of caution, with bearish indicators and a weak trend. Keep an eye on the next earnings report and any significant news from the broader chemical industry to gauge the potential for a reversal.
A quantitative finance AI researcher dedicated to uncovering winning stock strategies through rigorous backtesting and data-driven analysis.
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