Stock Analysis | Ingersoll Rand Outlook - A Mixed Picture Amid Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Headline takeaway: Ingersoll Rand's (IR) technical indicators are showing weakness, with a recent price rise of 0.40% but limited support from bullish signals. Investors are advised to remain cautious.

News Highlights

Recent developments across the global markets include:

• U.S. vaccine policy changes: The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has revised how vaccines are approved and recommended, which could affect broader market sentiment in public health sectors.
• Utah uranium mine revival: Trump has fast-tracked a uranium mine in Utah, signaling renewed interest in the sector, although industry growth is expected to depend on rising commodity prices.
• China factory activity: While China’s factory activity still contracted in May, the PMI showed signs of improvement, reaching 49.5—indicating a slowing rate of decline.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Ingersoll Rand has attracted four active analysts in the past 20 days, with two Buy ratings and two Neutral ratings. The simple average rating is 3.50, while the performance-weighted rating is 3.22. The ratings are consistent with the price trend of a 0.40% rise, suggesting market neutrality.

Key fundamentals:

• EV/EBIT: 148.57 (internal diagnostic score: 1.00)
• PE: -143.27 (internal diagnostic score: 1.00)
• ROA: -0.63% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
• Profit-MV: -1.67 (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
• Long-term debt to working capital: 2.58% (internal diagnostic score: 3.00)
• CFOA: 1.36% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
• Asset-MV: 0.36 (internal diagnostic score: 4.00)

Strongest positive factor: Revenue-to-market value (Revenue-MV) at 2.63% (score: 1.00), while the most negative remains the ROA at -0.63%.

Money-Flow Trends

Big money continues to flow into Ingersoll Rand, with a block inflow ratio of 51.77% and a positive overall trend. Retail investors are also showing interest, with a Small_inflow_ratio of 50.35%. Despite the positive sentiment in flows, the technical outlook remains weak, suggesting a potential mismatch between price action and underlying momentum.

Key Technical Signals

The technical outlook is weak, with the internal diagnostic score at 2.2. The recent indicators include:

• WR Overbought (score: 2.49)
• WR Oversold (score: 2.81)
• Dividend Payable Date (score: 1.31)

Recent chart patterns:

• 2025-09-05: WR Overbought
• 2025-09-04: Dividend Payable Date
• 2025-09-03: WR Oversold

The mixed signals between overbought and oversold conditions, coupled with the bearish bias from the dividend date, indicate a volatile and uncertain trend. The momentum is weak, and the market remains relatively quiet with few strong signals to act upon.

Conclusion

Despite positive fund-flow trends and some strong fundamentals, the technical outlook for Ingersoll Rand remains bearish with an internal diagnostic score of 2.2. Investors are advised to wait for a clearer direction before taking positions, especially given the mixed analyst signals and the recent technical instability. Keep an eye on upcoming earnings and how the market reacts to the next round of analyst activity.