Stock Analysis | HP Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Takeaway: HP (HPQ.N) is showing a recent price rise of 6.37%, but technical indicators remain bearish, suggesting caution for investors. The overall technical score is an internal diagnostic score of 3.71, indicating weak technicals and a suggestion to avoid the stock for now.

News Highlights

• Industry Comparisons Continue: Recent articles have focused on Apple (AAPL) and its peers in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector. While these reports don’t directly mention HP, they highlight the competitive pressures and industry dynamics at play.
• Web3 Smartphone Launch: GMTech Inc. announced the launch of a new Web3 native smartphone, indicating innovation in the tech space. While HP isn’t mentioned, this reflects ongoing tech sector momentum that could impact broader sentiment.
• Energy Sector Deal: TotalEnergies and RGE made a major solar and battery storage milestone in Singapore and Indonesia. While unrelated to HP, this signals strong infrastructure and clean energy momentum, which may influence broader market sentiment.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score: 3.33 (simple mean of recent analyst ratings).

Weighted Rating Score: 3.38 (performance-weighted, factoring in historical accuracy).

Consistency: Analysts remain consistent with a neutral to cautious stance, with 2 out of 3 recent ratings being “Neutral” and 1 being “Buy.” This aligns with the recent price rise but shows a lack of strong bullish conviction.

Key Fundamental Factors

• Annualized Return on Equity (ROE): -49.58% – Internal diagnostic score: 0
• Net Income-to-Revenue: -1.01% – Internal diagnostic score: 0
• Non-Current Assets / Total Assets: 49.85% – Internal diagnostic score: 0
• Total Profit YoY Growth Rate: -23.90% – Internal diagnostic score: 2
• Rate of Return on Total Assets: -9.09% – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Total Profit / EBIT: 100.00% – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Cash Flow from Operating Activities (CFOA): 0.10% – Internal diagnostic score: 3
• Current Assets / Total Assets: 50.15% – Internal diagnostic score: 0
• Cash-to-Market Value Ratio: -2.93% – Internal diagnostic score: 1

While operating cash flow shows some strength with a score of 3, most profitability and efficiency metrics are weak, with a fundamental composite score of 3.46 and many factors scoring 0 in internal diagnostics.

Money-Flow Trends

Big money is flowing out of HPQ.N. The overall fund-flow score is 7.81 (internal diagnostic score), which is a strong indicator of negative sentiment among large institutional and retail investors. All categories—extra-large, large, medium, and small—show negative trends. The inflow ratio across all categories is roughly 48.65%, showing that the outflows are dominating the inflows. This pattern suggests that investors are taking profits or hedging, not aggressively buying in.

Key Technical Signals

HPQ.N’s technical outlook is weak, with 3 bearish and 1 bullish indicators in the last 5 days.

Indicator Details and Internal Diagnostic Scores

• WR Overbought: Internal diagnostic score: 3.81 – Signal is neutral with a 54.39% win rate.
• Long Lower Shadow: Internal diagnostic score: 2.93 – Biased bearish with a 50.0% win rate.
• Earnings Release Date: Internal diagnostic score: 1.00 – Biased bearish with a 33.33% win rate.
• Bullish Engulfing: Internal diagnostic score: 7.11 – A strong positive pattern with a 66.67% win rate.

Recent Indicators by Date

• 2025-08-22: WR Overbought
• 2025-08-25: WR Overbought
• 2025-08-28: Long Lower Shadow
• 2025-08-27: Earnings Release Date
• 2025-08-29: WR Overbought and Bullish Engulfing

Despite the presence of a Bullish Engulfing pattern, the dominance of bearish indicators like the Long Lower Shadow and Earnings Release Date suggests a weak overall momentum. The technical trend is described as weak, with a suggestion to avoid the stock based on current signals.

Conclusion

HPQ.N is in a mixed bag: while fundamentals and analyst ratings are neutral to cautious, technicals are clearly bearish. With a technical score of 3.71 and weak indicators dominating, the stock is not in a strong position for bullish bets. Consider waiting for a pull-back or a stronger breakout signal before entering the stock. For now, it’s best to watch for clearer technical confirmation and strong institutional inflow before taking positions.