Stock Analysis | Hasbro Outlook - A Cautious Technical and Analyst View
Market Snapshot: HasbroHAS-- (HAS) Faces Technical Weakness Despite Mixed Analyst Ratings
Hasbro (HAS) is currently trading in a technical downtrend, with our internal diagnostic score at 2.72 (0-10), indicating a weak chart profile and a bearish outlook. However, analyst ratings remain mixed, showing both optimism and caution among professionals.
News Highlights: Sector Developments and Strategic Moves
- July 30 - Guildford Leisure Investment: Almost £10 million will be invested in Guildford leisure services, with Freedom Leisure set to manage key facilities. This is a positive sign for the leisure and consumer discretionary sector.
- August 5 - Inspired Entertainment Partnership: Inspired Entertainment secured a major five-year supply agreement with Jenningsbet, indicating strong demand for its B2B gaming solutions. While not directly linked to Hasbro, this reinforces the growing interest in entertainment technology.
- July 30 - Coinbase XRP and SOL Futures: Coinbase announced new crypto products for XRP and Solana (SOL), which could signal increased financial activity in related markets, but these developments are not directly relevant to Hasbro’s core business.
Analyst Views & Fundamentals: A Mixed Bag of Signals
Analysts remain divided on Hasbro's outlook. The simple average rating is 4.33, while the performance-weighted rating is 3.19, reflecting a more cautious approach when factoring in historical performance. There’s a lack of consensus, with ratings ranging from "Strong Buy" to "Buy" and "Neutral". This dispersion indicates uncertainty in the market.
The stock has seen a modest upward price trend of 0.17% recently, which is only loosely aligned with the weighted analyst expectations, which are relatively neutral. This suggests that the price action may not be fully reflecting the broader analyst sentiment.
Key Fundamental Factors
- Net cash flow from operating activities / Operating revenue (%): 11.21% with an internal diagnostic score of 9.42 (0-10). This indicates strong operational efficiency.
- Quick ratio: 132.28% with a score of 9.23 (0-10), suggesting solid liquidity.
- PCF (Price to Cash Flow): 44.05 with a score of 9.20 (0-10), indicating reasonable cash flow coverage.
- Asset-liability ratio (%): 94.79% with a score of 8.63 (0-10), indicating a high degree of leverage.
- Equity multiplier: 21.46 with a score of 8.63 (0-10), suggesting a capital structure that is heavily financed by debt.
Money-Flow Trends: Big Money is Entering, Retailers are Mixed
Recent fund-flow analysis shows that large and extra-large institutional investors are showing positive intent, with an extra-large inflow ratio of 60.46% and a block inflow ratio of 57.20%. Our internal fund-flow score is 8.3 (0-10), labeling the trend as excellent.
However, small and medium-sized investors are more divided. The medium inflow ratio is at 48.88%, while the small inflow ratio is at 50.05%, showing a lack of strong retail participation. This could signal hesitation among individual investors.
Key Technical Signals: Bearish Momentum and Earnings Concerns
Technically, Hasbro is in a weak position. Four bearish indicators outweigh zero bullish ones, and the overall technical score is 2.72 (0-10), with a strong bearish trend. Our system highlights the following key internal diagnostic scores (0-10):
- WR Oversold: 2.05 (0-10) – a neutral-to-bullish signal, but not strong enough to overcome bearish momentum.
- Long Lower Shadow: 1.00 (0-10) – strongly bearish and reinforces downward pressure.
- Earnings Release Date: 1.00 (0-10) – often correlates with price declines due to uncertainty or underperformance.
Recent chart patterns include a Long Lower Shadow on July 23, a bearish candlestick signal, and an Earnings Release Date on the same day. These patterns suggest a lack of buying interest during key events and reinforce caution ahead of further earnings reports.
Our model’s key insight: "Technical indicators show a market in a weak state, with significant bearish signals (4) outpacing bullish ones (0)." This confirms a weak trend with high downside risk.
Conclusion: Cautious Until Technical and Earnings Uncertainties Resolve
Investors should proceed with caution around Hasbro (HAS). While fundamentals remain strong and big-money flows are positive, the technical chart remains weak, and earnings-related volatility persists. With a technical score of 2.72 (0-10) and mixed analyst ratings, it may be wise to wait for a clearer breakout or a pullback before considering entry.
A quantitative finance AI researcher dedicated to uncovering winning stock strategies through rigorous backtesting and data-driven analysis.
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