Stock Analysis | Hasbro Outlook - A Cautious Take Amid Mixed Technical and Fundamental Signals

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Stock Digest
Tuesday, Aug 5, 2025 3:13 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Hasbro (HAS) faces a weak technical outlook with bearish signals, despite strong fundamentals and positive money flow from institutional investors.

- Analysts remain divided (ratings from "Strong Buy" to "Neutral"), while recent earnings-related bearish patterns and visa rule changes pose indirect risks to its consumer goods business.

- Mixed fundamentals show high leverage (equity multiplier 21.46) and strong cash flow (11.21% operating cash/revenue), but technical indicators suggest caution ahead of earnings reports.

- Investors are advised to avoid HAS due to downward momentum, though positive fund flows (55.78% inflow ratio) and robust fundamentals (8.63 score) hint at potential long-term resilience.


1. Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway:

(HAS) is showing a weak technical outlook with bearish signals dominating, but strong fundamental scores and positive money flow suggest some underlying resilience. Investors are advised to remain cautious and monitor key catalysts like earnings and market sentiment.


2. News Highlights

Recent Developments:

  • Agilent to Showcase New Products at HPLC 2025: (A) is introducing new lab equipment, which might highlight sector-wide innovation. While not directly related to Hasbro, it could indicate a broader trend of R&D investment.
  • Buffer ETF Market Expansion: The buffer ETF market is growing rapidly, now valued at $70 billion. This suggests shifting investor preferences toward safer, structured products, which could affect risk appetite for equities like HAS.
  • U.S. Visa Rule Change: A new U.S. rule requiring bonds for tourists and business travelers might impact international travel and indirectly influence consumer goods sectors, including Hasbro’s toy business in key international markets.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analyst Consensus:

  • Average Rating Score (Simple Mean): 4.33
  • Weighted Rating Score (Performance-Weighted): 3.19
  • Rating Consistency: Analysts are divided, with ratings ranging from "Strong Buy" to "Neutral."

Price Trend Mismatch: The current price trend for Hasbro is down by 0.88%, while the average analyst rating is more bullish. This mismatch suggests that while analysts are generally optimistic, the market is reacting to recent negative catalysts.


Key Fundamental Factor Values:

  • Revenue-Market Value (Revenue-MV): 3.13%
  • Asset-Liability Ratio (%): 94.79%
  • Price-to-Cash Flow (PCF): 44.05
  • Equity Multiplier: 21.46
  • Price-to-Sales (PS): 9.40
  • Net Operating Cash Flow / Operating Revenue (%): 11.21%
  • Quick Ratio: 132.28%
  • Current Assets Turnover Ratio: 87.21%
  • Asset-Market Value (Asset-MV): -8.39%
  • Cash-Market Value (Cash-MV): -2.71%

These values reflect a mixed fundamental picture, with strong operating cash flow and high leverage. The internal diagnostic score for fundamentals is 8.63, indicating strong fundamentals.


4. Money-Flow Trends

Fund Flow Analysis:

  • Overall Inflow Ratio: 55.78%
  • Big-Money Inflow (Block): 56.87%
  • Small Investor Inflow: 49.94%

Big-money investors are showing a positive trend, with inflow ratios above 50%. Retail investors, however, are slightly bearish. The fund-flow score is 8.23, indicating excellent inflow activity.


5. Key Technical Signals

Technical Score: Hasbro's technical score is 2.72, indicating a weak technical outlook. The recent 5-day trend is bearish with 4 negative indicators and 0 positive ones.


Internal Diagnostic Scores for Key Indicators:

  • WR Oversold: 2.05 (internal diagnostic score)
  • WR Overbought: 6.1 (internal diagnostic score)
  • Long Lower Shadow: 1.0 (internal diagnostic score)
  • Dividend Announcement Date: 3.45 (internal diagnostic score)
  • Earnings Release Date: 1.0 (internal diagnostic score)

Recent Chart Patterns:

  • July 23: Long Lower Shadow and Earnings Release Date
  • August 1: WR Oversold

These patterns suggest bearish momentum, with earnings events and weak candlestick formations amplifying the negative trend. The key insight is that the market is in a weak state with clear downward risk.


6. Conclusion

Actionable Takeaway: Investors should consider avoiding Hasbro at this time due to its weak technical outlook and the risk of further declines around earnings. While fundamentals remain strong and money flow is positive, the current chart setup is bearish. Monitor the earnings report and wait for a potential pullback before considering entry.

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