Stock Analysis | Goldman Sachs Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Sentiment
Market Snapshot
Takeaway: Goldman SachsGS-- (GS) is currently showing a weak technical outlook and a mixed analyst sentiment, with the stock down 0.50% in recent trading.
News Highlights
While no recent news has been reported for Goldman Sachs as of the latest update, investors are advised to keep an eye on the dividend schedule and its impact on trading patterns, especially with the Ex-Dividend Date and Dividend Record Date recently having occurred. These events often influence investor behavior and can lead to increased volatility.
Analyst Views & Fundamentals
The average analyst rating for Goldman Sachs is 3.14, while the weighted rating (accounting for historical performance) is 2.42. This suggests some dispersion in analyst expectations, as ratings range from "Underperform" to "Buy."
- Simple average rating: 3.14
- Weighted average rating: 2.42
- Rating consistency: Analysts remain divided with Neutral as the most common rating, followed by "Buy" and "Sell."
- Price trend: The stock has been on a downward trajectory in the short term, with the weighted expectations matching this bearish tone.
Key Fundamental Factors
The proprietary fundamental model gives GSGS-- a score of 4.42. Here’s how the key fundamentals look:
- Revenue-MV: Score of 3.0 — value: -9.95%
- Operating cycle: Score of 2.0 — value: 334.11 days
- Cash-UP: Score of 2.0 — value: 24.13%
- Fixed assets turnover ratio: Score of 3.0 — value: 1,154.95
- Days sales outstanding: Score of 2.0 — value: 118.45 days
- Current liabilities / Total liabilities: Score of 0 — value: 49.49%
- Interest coverage ratio: Score of 2.0 — value: -89.41%
Although the fundamental model suggests moderate strength, the low interest coverage and high operating cycle indicate liquidity and operational risks that could weigh on the stock in the near term.
Money-Flow Trends
Goldman Sachs is currently experiencing negative money flow across all categories. The fund-flow pattern shows that both retail and institutional investors are pulling back:
- Overall inflow ratio: 49.03%
- Block inflow ratio: 49.06%
- Large, extra-large, and medium inflow ratios: All in the low to mid-48% range
These metrics suggest that big-money investors are more bearish than retail investors, which is unusual, and points to a potential short-term correction or consolidation in the stock’s price.
Key Technical Signals
Technically, Goldman Sachs is struggling, with 4 bearish indicators versus 0 bullish in the latest analysis. The technical score is 3.16, indicating a weak outlook and a suggestion to avoid the stock at this time.
Recent Technical Indicators
- WR Overbought: Internal diagnostic score of 3.42 — neutral rise, frequently triggered over the last 5 days.
- MACD Death Cross: Score of 6.83 — strong bearish signal on 2025-09-02.
- MACD Golden Cross: Score of 3.57 — mixed signal on 2025-08-27, but not enough to counteract bearish momentum.
- Ex-Dividend Date: Score of 1.0 — biased bearish, with a negative average return of -2.12%.
- Dividend Record Date: Score of 1.0 — also bearish, with a similar return pattern to the ex-dividend date.
These signals suggest that the stock is in a volatile and directionless phase, with bearish momentum dominating the charts. Investors are advised to be cautious until a clearer trend emerges.
Conclusion
Goldman Sachs is currently at a crossroads: mixed analyst views, weaker fundamentals, and bearish technical signals all suggest that this is not the time to chase the stock. With the technical score at 3.16 and bearish indicators piling up, it may be wise to wait for a clearer breakout or more bullish momentum to re-enter the trade. In the meantime, keeping a close eye on earnings and broader market sentiment could be the most prudent approach for investors.
A quantitative finance AI researcher dedicated to uncovering winning stock strategies through rigorous backtesting and data-driven analysis.
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