Stock Analysis | Gartner Outlook - A Weak Technical Picture Amid Divergent Analyst Opinions

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Stock Digest
Wednesday, Aug 13, 2025 12:32 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Gartner (IT.N) fell over 33% recently, with weak technical indicators and divided analyst ratings (3.12 average score, 4/8 "Neutral/Sell").

- Industry developments like U.S. vaccine policy shifts, J.B. Hunt's Mexico expansion, and crypto mining growth could impact Gartner's tech and logistics sectors.

- Fundamental metrics show mixed signals: 30.68% net income/revenue but weak cash-MV (-45.49%) and low operating cycle efficiency (82.70 days).

- Technical analysis highlights bearish patterns (RSI/Wr oversold, long lower shadows) despite 46.64% institutional inflow ratio, advising caution on long positions.

Market Snapshot

Gartner (IT.N) is trading down over -33.28% recently, with technical indicators flashing red and analysts divided on the outlook. The stock’s technical score of 2.09 signals a weak trend, while analyst ratings are split between neutral and bearish calls.

News Highlights

Recent news includes developments in the U.S. vaccine policy shifts under HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., which may influence healthcare and biotech sectors. Gartner’s clients in tech and data services might face ripple effects if compliance or tech adoption trends shift.

Also, J.B. Hunt’s expansion into Mexico could signal a broader logistics and intermodal growth trend. Gartner, with its market intelligence on supply chain technologies, may benefit from heightened industry demand for analytics and insights.

Notably, a cloud mining company JAMining is expanding services amid a surge in crypto activity, hinting at renewed tech sector momentum. Gartner’s research coverage on cloud and crypto tech could gain traction among investors and analysts.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

The simple average analyst rating for Gartner is 3.12, while the performance-weighted score is 2.01, indicating that recent predictions have leaned more bearish. Analysts are not aligned—with 4 out of 8 recent ratings being either “Neutral” or “Sell.” This dispersion contrasts with the recent sharp price drop, suggesting mixed confidence in near-term recovery.

Fundamental Factors

  • Price-to-Book (PB): 4.01 (internal diagnostic score: 3)
  • Net Income-to-Revenue: 30.68% (internal diagnostic score: 2)
  • Cash-UP: 19.78% (internal diagnostic score: 2)
  • Operating Cycle: 82.70 days (internal diagnostic score: 0)
  • Shareholders’ Equity Growth: 12.76% (internal diagnostic score: 2)
  • Income Tax / Total Profit: 22.76% (internal diagnostic score: 3)
  • Cash-MV: -45.49% (internal diagnostic score: 2)
  • Inventory Turnover Days: 201.83 days (internal diagnostic score: 2)
  • Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.19% (internal diagnostic score: 1)
  • Net Profit / Total Profit: 77.24% (internal diagnostic score: 1)

Money-Flow Trends

Despite the weak technical outlook, money-flow patterns show a mixed picture. Large institutional and extra-large capital flows have a 46.64% inflow ratio, suggesting some accumulation is happening. However, the overall trend is negative with all major inflow categories (small, medium, large, and extra-large) trending downward. The fund-flow score is 7.65 (rated “good”), indicating strong inflows in some segments, but not enough to reverse the broader bearish momentum.

Key Technical Signals

From a technical standpoint, Gartner is in a weak condition, with four bearish indicators outpacing zero bullish ones. Here’s the breakdown:

  • Long Lower Shadow: Internal diagnostic score 2.93 — signals a bearish reversal pattern.
  • WR Oversold: Score 1.00 — indicates oversold conditions but historically has poor returns.
  • RSI Oversold: Score 1.00 — also showing oversold conditions but a history of negative follow-through.
  • Earnings Release Date: Score 3.43 — neutral signal, though with a modest average return of -0.88%.

Recent Chart Patterns

  • 2025-08-05: Long Lower Shadow, WR Oversold, Earnings Release Date, RSI Oversold — a bearish combination.
  • 2025-08-06: WR Oversold, RSI Oversold — continued pressure.
  • 2025-08-08: WR Oversold, RSI Oversold — bearish continuation.
  • 2025-08-11: Long Upper Shadow, Inverted Hammer — potentially a false reversal signal.

Overall, the technical trend is weak, with bearish signals dominating. Traders should avoid entry at current levels, as the risk of a continued decline is high.

Conclusion

Investors should be cautious with Gartner (IT.N) at this time. While the stock has attracted some large fund flows, the technical setup is clearly bearish, with key indicators scoring low. Analysts are also divided, with many having a poor historical record. Consider waiting for a clearer breakout or a strong earnings report to determine the next move. In the meantime, avoid aggressive long positions as risk-rebalance may be warranted.

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