Stock Analysis | Gartner Outlook - Technical Weakness and Mixed Analyst Sentiment Weigh on IT.N

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Gartner's technical outlook is bearish with no bullish signals, while fundamentals and analysts offer a mixed picture. Stance: Cautious on near-term momentum.

News Highlights

Recent news stories impacting Gartner include:

• JAMining expands FCA-regulated cloud mining services amid a surge in crypto activity, hinting at broader market trends that may impact tech firms like IT.N.
• Reliable Data Services reported strong sales growth in May 2025, showing that some data-related firms are outperforming amid rising costs—an encouraging sign for data analytics players like Gartner.
• VerSe Innovation and Builder.ai are under scrutiny for alleged revenue inflation through reciprocal invoicing. If true, this could signal a broader trend of aggressive financial reporting in the tech sector.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts have issued a mixed set of ratings for Gartner over the past 20 days, with 4 "Neutral", 2 "Sell", 1 "Strong Buy", and 1 "Buy" ratings. This leads to a simple average rating score of 3.12 and a performance-weighted rating of 2.72.

Rating consistency is low, with analysts from different institutions disagreeing on the stock's direction. Barclays’ Manav Patnaik, a high-quality analyst with an 80% historical win rate, gave a “Buy” rating, while Wells Fargo’s Jason Haas, with a 57.1% win rate, recommended a “Sell.” This dispersion suggests uncertainty in the market’s future trajectory.

Price trend vs. analyst expectations: The stock has fallen by 29.11% recently, and the neutral-to-bearish analyst outlook aligns with the current price action.

Key fundamental factors and internal diagnostic scores (0-10):

• Net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate %): 25.87% – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Asset-liability ratio: 81.60% – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Net profit attributable to parent company shareholders / Net profit: 100.00% – Internal diagnostic score: 3
• Operating cycle: 82.70 days – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Days sales outstanding: 82.70 days – Internal diagnostic score: 3
• Equity ratio (Total liabilities / Shareholders’ equity): 4.43% – Internal diagnostic score: 2
• Current liabilities / Total liabilities: 52.89% – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Inventory turnover days: 211.18 days – Internal diagnostic score: 1
• Cash-MV: -0.46% – Internal diagnostic score: 2
• Net profit / Total profit: 77.24% – Internal diagnostic score: 1

While some factors like net profit attribution (score: 3) and equity ratio (score: 2) are relatively better, the overall fundamental score is 3.78, indicating a weak underlying business condition.

Money-Flow Trends

Money-flow data reveals negative trends across all investor categories. The large-inflow ratio is 47.52%, extra-large at 48.46%, and retail investors (small) at 49.50%. This broad-based outflow suggests weak institutional and retail confidence.

The block investor trend is also negative, with an overall inflow ratio of 47.90%, further reinforcing the bearish sentiment.

The fund-flow score is 7.7 (internal diagnostic score 0-10), which is “good” in terms of model categorization. However, this appears contradictory to the bearish price trend. One possible explanation is that recent selling pressure has temporarily distorted inflow measurements.

Key Technical Signals

Gartner’s technical signals are clearly bearish, with 3 bearish indicators and zero bullish ones in the last 5 days.

Indicator details and internal diagnostic scores (0-10):

• WR Oversold – Internal diagnostic score: 1 – Biased bearish with an average return of -2.1% and a 24.4% win rate
• Bearish Engulfing – Internal diagnostic score: 1 – Biased bearish with an average return of -1.82% and a 14.3% win rate
• RSI Oversold – Internal diagnostic score: 1 – Biased bearish with an average return of -2.65% and a 41.9% win rate

Recent chart patterns include a "Bearish Engulfing" on 2025-08-15, indicating a strong reversal to the downside. Other signals like "WR Oversold" and "RSI Oversold" on multiple dates over the past week (e.g., 2025-08-11, 2025-08-12, 2025-08-14) add to the bearish pressure.

Key insights from the technical analysis: Technical indicators show the market is in a weak state, and we need to pay attention to the risk of decline. Bearish signals are clearly dominant (3 vs 0).

Conclusion

Gartner is showing signs of technical weakness with zero bullish indicators and a score of 1.0 (internal diagnostic score 0-10). Meanwhile, analysts are divided, and the fundamental score is weak at 3.78. Money-flow trends are also negative across all investor categories.

Actionable Takeaway: Investors should consider avoiding Gartner in the near term due to the bearish technical bias and mixed fundamental/analyst signals. If you’re watching for a potential rebound, monitor RSI and WR levels for signs of oversold exhaustion before any meaningful bounce.