Stock Analysis | Gartner Outlook - A Bearish Picture Amid Weak Technicals and Mixed Analysts

Market Snapshot

Gartner (IT) is in a clear downward trend (-26.02%) with weak technical indicators and mixed analyst views. Investors should consider avoiding or watching for pull-back opportunities.

News Highlights

Recent news affecting the broader market and potentially influencing investor sentiment include:

• Changes to U.S. COVID-19 Vaccine Policy: The Department of Health and Human Services under Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has revised how vaccines are approved and recommended. While not directly tied to Gartner, this could impact healthcare IT firms indirectly.
• Reliable Data Services Reports Strong Growth: Reliable Data Services recently reported significant sales growth, signaling a positive trend in data and cloud services. However, rising costs and profitability concerns could weigh on the broader tech sector.
• JAMining Expands FCA-Regulated Cloud Mining: JAMining’s expansion in regulated cloud mining services highlights growing interest in crypto infrastructure, which may indirectly influence tech-related stocks like Gartner.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Gartner is seeing mixed analyst sentiment with a simple average rating of 3.12 and a performance-weighted rating of 2.72. The consensus is not strong, showing dispersed views with 4 Neutral, 2 Sell, 1 Buy, and 1 Strong Buy ratings in the last 20 days.

These ratings are in alignment with the recent price trend (down -26.02%), as most analysts have issued cautious or bearish assessments. However, the Barclays analyst (Manav Patnaik), with an excellent historical winning rate (80%) and a recent "Buy" rating, stands out as a rare positive voice.

Key fundamental values and their internal diagnostic scores (0-10):

• Net profit attributable to parent company shareholders / Net profit (%): 100.00% (score: 3)
• Net profit / Total profit (%): 77.24% (score: 1)
• Asset-liability ratio (%): 81.5962% (score: 1)
• Long-term debt to working capital ratio (%): 8.4204% (score: 1)
• Inventory turnover days: 204.09 (score: 2)
• Cash-MV: -0.69 (score: 2)
• Net income-Revenue: 0.2582 (score: 2)
• Income tax / Total profit (%): 22.76% (score: 3)
• Cash-UP: -0.07 (score: 2)
• Operating cycle: 82.70 (score: 0)

Money-Flow Trends

Gartner is experiencing negative overall money-flow trends, with no size category showing positive inflow. The overall inflow ratio stands at 0.4779, with small, medium, and large-sized flows all trending negative. This suggests that both institutional and retail investors are selling or staying on the sidelines, which is a sign of weak demand and potentially continued downward pressure.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, Gartner is under significant pressure. Its internal diagnostic score is 1.0, the lowest possible, indicating very weak momentum. Here's a breakdown of the key technical signals:

• RSI Oversold: Score: 1 (internal diagnostic score) – strongly bearish signal, with historical average return of -2.65% and win rate of 41.94%.
• WR Oversold: Score: 1 – also bearish, with an average return of -2.1% and a win rate of 24.39%.

Recent chart patterns (from 2025-08-11 to 2025-08-13) include:

• Long Upper Shadow
• Inverted Hammer
• RSI and WR remain oversold

These signals confirm weak momentum and reinforce the recommendation to avoid the stock or consider a wait-and-see approach.

Conclusion

With weak technicals, mixed analyst ratings, and negative money flow, Gartner remains a high-risk stock. Investors should consider waiting for a potential pull-back or clearer signals before entering a position. The recent bearish indicators, including RSI and WR oversold levels, also support a cautious stance.