Stock Analysis | Carrier Global Outlook - Technical Weakness and Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Headline: Carrier Global (CARR) is showing weak technical signals and a recent price drop of 1.94%, despite mixed analyst ratings.

The company’s technical side is currently weak, with bearish indicators dominating and suggesting caution for potential investors.

News Highlights

• Amazon's New Team for Consumer Products: Amazon (AMZN) has launched a new team called ZeroOne to invent brand-new consumer products. While this news is more relevant to Amazon, it highlights a broader trend in product innovation that could influence investor sentiment in related sectors.
• Meta's Military AI Partnership: Meta has joined forces with Anduril Industries to develop AI-powered military products. This kind of strategic collaboration could influence investor focus on tech firms with defense-related partnerships, though it may not directly impact Carrier Global.
• ETF Assets in Asia Pacific Reach Record High: ETFGI reported that ETF assets in the Asia Pacific region (excluding Japan) hit a record $1.25 trillion at the end of April. This reflects strong global investor confidence, but its direct impact on Carrier Global is unclear.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score (Simple Mean): 3.75

Weighted Rating Score (Performance-Weighted): 2.44

Rating Consistency / Dispersion: There are differences in analyst ratings, with three "Buy" ratings and one "Neutral" rating in the last 20 days.

Price Trend Alignment: The current price is falling (-1.94%), aligning with the weighted analyst expectations.

Key fundamental factors and their model scores:

• Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities per Share (YoY Growth Rate %): 71.57% with an internal diagnostic score of 2.
• Net Assets per Share (Growth Rate Compared to Beginning of Year %): 7.77% with an internal diagnostic score of 2.
• Annualized Return on Equity (%): 13.94% with an internal diagnostic score of 3.
• Price-to-Earnings (PE): 100.15 with an internal diagnostic score of 3.
• Gross Profit Margin (GPM): 28.94% with an internal diagnostic score of 3.
• Gross Margin (GMAR): 28.94% with an internal diagnostic score of 3.
• Total Profit / EBIT (%): 88.71% with an internal diagnostic score of 3.
• Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities / Total Liabilities (%): 4.82% with an internal diagnostic score of 2.
• ROE (Diluted) (%): 6.82% with an internal diagnostic score of 1.
• EBIT / Total Operating Revenue (%): 13.53% with an internal diagnostic score of 1.

Money-Flow Trends

Big-Money vs. Retail Flows: While big-money flows are showing a positive trend (block trend positive), retail flows are mixed.

• Small-Trend: Negative
• Medium-Trend: Negative
• Large-Trend: Positive
• Extra-Large-Trend: Negative

Overall, the fund-flow score is 7.87 (good), indicating positive inflow patterns, particularly for large investors. However, the negative trends at the small and medium levels suggest that retail and mid-sized investors are cautious or bearish.

Key Technical Signals

Internal Diagnostic Scores (0-10):

• WR Overbought: 2.8
• WR Oversold: 3.5
• Bearish Engulfing: 3.54

Recent Chart Patterns (Last 5 Days):

• 2025-08-22: WR Overbought
• 2025-08-26: Hanging Man
• 2025-08-28: Bearish Engulfing
• 2025-08-27: WR Overbought
• 2025-08-29: WR Oversold

Momentum / Trend Quality: The technical indicators show that the market is in a volatile state with unclear direction. Bearish signals are dominant (3 bearish vs. 0 bullish), and the recent technical signals are scarce, with the market relatively calm.

Conclusion

Actionable Takeaway: Given the weak technical signals, mixed analyst ratings, and volatile price movements, investors are advised to consider avoiding Carrier Global (CARR) or waiting for a clearer trend or strong fundamental catalyst before entering a position.