Stock Analysis | Blackstone Outlook - Technical Neutrality and Analyst Divergence Signal Caution

Market Snapshot

Blackstone (BX) remains in technical neutrality with moderate attention from indicators. The stock is showing a recent price rise of 0.25%, but technical signals remain mixed with no clear bullish or bearish momentum.

News Highlights

• 2025 Capital Markets Outlook points to positive trends with lower interest rates and moderate inflation, which could benefit Blackstone’s M&A and private equity segments.
• Regulatory changes and the adoption of AI in financial services are expected to drive efficiency and innovation, potentially supporting Blackstone’s tech-driven strategies.
• Macroeconomic challenges such as elevated interest rates and weaker exit channels persist, which may temper performance in the near term.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts have been moderately active in the last 20 days, with 11 predictions from 8 institutions. The simple average rating is 3.55, while the performance-weighted rating is 2.96. These scores suggest a relatively neutral market expectation that clashes with the current price trend of a 0.25% rise.

Key fundamental values include:

• Operating Revenue YoY Growth Rate: 429.87% – scored 2.52 (internal diagnostic score, 0-10)
• Days Sales Outstanding: 119.16 days – scored 2.55
• Current Assets / Total Assets: 47.02% – scored 1.39
• Non-Current Assets / Total Assets: 53.36% – scored 1.42
• Interest Coverage Ratio: -89.94% (negative) – scored 1.44
• GPOA: 0.099 – scored 1.83
• Cash-UP: 0.68 – scored 1.06

Overall, fundamentals are underperforming, with the internal diagnostic score of 3.17 suggesting caution for fundamental investors.

Money-Flow Trends

Blackstone is seeing negative flow across all capital sizes. The overall inflow ratio is 46.74%, indicating net outflows despite the recent price rise. Large and extra-large institutional flows are particularly weak, with inflow ratios below 47%, suggesting that big players are cautious.

Retail investors show mixed sentiment, with inflow ratios ranging from 45% to 49%, but still trending negatively. This indicates a lack of strong conviction across all investor groups.

Key Technical Signals

Blackstone’s technical profile is mixed, with 1 bullish indicator and no bearish signals in the last 5 days. The overall technical score is 6.61, indicating technical neutrality with moderate attention.

• Williams %R Oversold is the standout bullish signal, with an internal diagnostic score of 8.79, suggesting strong buying pressure. This has appeared on August 21, 19, and 20, pointing to a possible short-term rebound.
• Williams %R Overbought is neutral with a score of 6.17, indicating no strong momentum.
• Dividend Payable Date is a neutral event, with a score of 4.87, and was active on August 11, potentially affecting short-term liquidity.

Conclusion

Consider waiting for a pull-back before entering new positions. While the technical neutrality and Williams %R oversold signal suggest some short-term buying potential, the divergent analyst views and weak fundamental performance highlight the need for caution. Keep an eye on upcoming regulatory updates and interest rate expectations, as these could influence Blackstone’s performance in the near term.