Stock Analysis | Blackstone Outlook - Navigating a Weak Technical Climate Amid Mixed Analyst Sentiment

1. Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Blackstone (BX) is currently in a weak technical position with downward price pressure. Investors are advised to proceed cautiously.

With a current price trend of -2.49%, Blackstone faces a challenging environment. Our internal diagnostic score for the technical outlook is 3.27, suggesting a weak trend with more bearish signals than bullish ones.

2. News Highlights

Recent developments in the capital markets sector highlight both opportunities and risks for Blackstone:

• "Top 6 trends shaping the capital markets sector in 2025" emphasizes the need for capital markets firms to adapt to evolving regulatory landscapes and technological advancements. This could impact Blackstone's operational strategies and revenue streams.
• "Capital Markets 2025 Midyear Outlook" reports increased IPO activity in technology, energy, and financial services. As a financial services player, Blackstone could benefit from this momentum, though market volatility remains a concern.
• "2025 Capital Markets Regulatory Outlook" notes the possibility of a deregulatory agenda under the new administration. This could reduce compliance costs for Blackstone but also introduce uncertainty in the short term.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts remain divided in their views on Blackstone. Here’s how the consensus stacks up:

• Average rating: 3.55 (simple mean)
• Weighted rating: 2.75 (based on historical performance)
• Rating dispersion: 7 ratings are neutral, with a few buy and strong buy calls. This suggests no strong consensus.
• Consistency vs. price trend: The weighted average aligns with the recent price trend of -2.49%.

Key fundamentals include:

• Revenue-MV: -0.56 (internal diagnostic score: 3.0)
• Days sales outstanding: 107.94% (internal diagnostic score: 2.0)
• Operating revenue (YoY growth rate): 109.32% (internal diagnostic score: 2.0)
• Interest coverage ratio: -91.62% (internal diagnostic score: 2.0)
• Current liabilities / Total liabilities: 45.57% (internal diagnostic score: 1.0)
• Cash-UP: 0.62 (internal diagnostic score: 1.0)
• Cash-MV: 0.29 (internal diagnostic score: 0.0)

These metrics suggest a mixed performance with some liquidity and revenue strengths but also signs of leverage and operational inefficiencies.

4. Money-Flow Trends

Big money and retail investors are both currently net outflow on Blackstone, indicating a cautious stance:

• Overall inflow ratio: 48.91%
• Small investor inflow ratio: 49.77%
• Large and extra-large inflow ratios: 48.40% and 48.71%, respectively
• Block inflow ratio: 48.66%

The fund-flow score is 7.69, which we classify as "good" based on internal metrics. This suggests that, despite the current price trend, there is still some confidence from major players in the stock's longer-term potential.

5. Key Technical Signals

The technical outlook for Blackstone is weak, with four bearish indicators outpacing the one bullish signal:

• MACD Death Cross: Internal diagnostic score of 8.3 (strongly bullish)
• WR Overbought: Internal diagnostic score of 6.2 (moderately bullish)
• Dividend Announcement Date: Internal diagnostic score of 1.0 (strongly bearish)
• Ex-Dividend Date: Internal diagnostic score of 1.59 (moderately bearish)
• Earnings Release Date: Internal diagnostic score of 1.0 (strongly bearish)
• Dividend Record Date: Internal diagnostic score of 1.59 (moderately bearish)

Recent chart activity includes a MACD Death Cross on July 31 and several instances of WR Overbought between July 24 and August 4. These mixed signals suggest no clear directional trend, with a weak overall momentum.

6. Conclusion

Actionable takeaway: Consider waiting for a pull-back or clearer technical signals before entering or adding to a Blackstone position.

While the fundamentals and fund flows remain somewhat positive, the current technical environment is weak with more bearish indicators in play. Investors are advised to monitor the next earnings release and potential regulatory developments in the capital markets sector for more clarity.