Stock Analysis | Autodesk Outlook - Technical Strength and Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Autodesk (ADSK) is showing technical strength with a positive price trend of 2.05% and a strong internal diagnostic score of 7.24.

News Highlights

Recent news items include:

• July 31 - PROS Holdings Reports Q2 2025 Results: While not directly related to Autodesk, it highlights continued forward-looking optimism in tech stocks. This could indirectly benefit Autodesk.
• July 30 - Royal Caribbean Shares Decline: A broader market sensitivity to capital expenditures and operational costs could impact investor sentiment for Autodesk, especially as it relates to enterprise software adoption.
• July 30 - PTC Announces Q3 2025 Results: PTC’s performance could serve as a barometer for Autodesk, as both are in the software space. PTC’s forward-looking statements highlight cautious optimism for the industry.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts are split in their views of Autodesk. The simple average rating score is 4.00, while the performance-weighted rating is 2.50. This suggests that the market's expectations are relatively neutral, but the historical performance of analysts has been mixed.

Three analysts have issued ratings in the past 20 days, with one "Strong Buy," one "Buy," and one "Neutral" rating. The ratings are not consistent, with a rating dispersion score of 1.00 (on a scale of 0 to 3, where 3 is most dispersed).

Current price trends show an upward movement, but this does not align well with the weighted analyst expectations. This mismatch could indicate either a market overreaction or a divergence in analyst views from market sentiment.

Key fundamental values include:

• Return on Assets (ROA): 2.83%
• Profit-to-Market Value (Profit-MV): -2.25
• Net Income-to-Revenue: 56.62%
• Net Profit Margin (NPM): 18.74%
• Cash Usage Pattern (Cash-UP): -0.81
• Annualized Net Profit Margin on Total Assets: 10.75%
• Interest Coverage Ratio: -105.55%
• Inventory Turnover Days: 239.26

These values are supported by the following internal diagnostic scores (0-10):

• ROA: 3.00
• Profit-MV: 1.00
• Net Income-Revenue: 0.00
• NPM: 2.00
• Cash-UP: 3.00
• Annualized Net Profit Margin on Total Assets: 3.00
• Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.00
• Inventory Turnover Days: 1.00

Money-Flow Trends

Autodesk has seen positive money-flow patterns across all investor segments. The fund-flow score is 7.72, indicating a strong internal diagnostic score for inflow activity.

Breakdown of inflow ratios includes:

• Small investors: 50.61%
• Medium investors: 50.42%
• Large investors: 50.14%
• Extra-large investors: 54.82%

This suggests broad-based support for Autodesk’s stock, with large and extra-large investors showing the most interest. The overall inflow ratio is 53.05%, which indicates a strong positive trend in investor confidence.

Key Technical Signals

Autodesk’s technical indicators are showing strength, with a technical score of 7.24 and a trend description of "technical bias is strong, with cautious optimism."

The most recent indicators include:

• Williams %R Overbought: Internal diagnostic score of 7.07. This suggests the stock is in overbought territory but still showing bullish momentum.
• MACD Golden Cross: Internal diagnostic score of 7.4. This is a strong bullish signal, indicating a potential upward trend.

Over the past five days, these signals have been consistent. The MACD Golden Cross was observed on July 25, and Williams %R Overbought has been active from July 24 through July 30. This suggests a strong continuation of bullish momentum.

Key insights include:

• Technical indicators suggest the market is in a consolidation phase with no clear direction.
• There are 2 bullish indicators and 0 bearish indicators, giving a clear edge to the bulls.

Conclusion

Autodesk is showing strong technical momentum and positive money-flow patterns, supported by an internal diagnostic technical score of 7.24. However, analyst ratings are mixed, with a simple average of 4.00 and a performance-weighted score of 2.50. This divergence suggests cautious optimism for investors.

Actionable Takeaway: Given the strong technical signals and positive money flows, investors may consider holding or increasing positions in Autodesk. However, due to the mixed analyst ratings, it may also be wise to monitor upcoming earnings and any new guidance before making large moves.