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Stellar (XLM) has drawn renewed attention from technical analysts as the cryptocurrency approaches a critical resistance level. At $0.4557, XLM is currently testing the $0.50 neckline, which, if broken, could initiate a bullish trend with a projected price target of $0.77 [1]. This projection is based on an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a widely recognized chart formation indicating a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend [2].
According to the analyst’s forecast, the pattern was confirmed when XLM broke above $0.52, a key resistance zone. The breakout, if sustained, could lead to a series of targets, including $0.60, $0.71, and ultimately $0.77 [1]. The pattern was formed through distinct price action: a left shoulder in January between $0.45–$0.50, a deep correction in April to $0.20 as the head, and a right shoulder from $0.35 in July [3].
Current technical indicators support the possibility of a bullish breakout. The RSI is at 61.44, with its moving average at 55.23, indicating strong momentum without overbought conditions. The MACD also shows positive momentum, with the line at 0.0166 above the signal line at 0.0154 and a histogram reading of 0.0012 [1]. These signals suggest growing buying pressure and potential for further upside if resistance levels are cleared.
Volume analysis further reinforces the bullish case. Daily trading volume stands at 50.65 million, reflecting active market participation. A sharp rally in July—from $0.20 to over $0.50—occurred alongside large volume spikes, signaling strong investor involvement [1]. The price has remained above the $0.40 support level since the beginning of July, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Fibonacci retracement levels provide additional context for potential price movements. XLM is currently near the 0.786 retracement level at $0.4523, with the 0.618 level at $0.3983 acting as a strong support zone [1]. A sustained move above $0.52 could validate the bullish reversal pattern, while a drop below $0.35 would undermine the technical case [2].
The broader market environment also appears favorable for altcoins. XLM is up 12.4% this week, approaching $0.50 amid positive on-chain activity [2]. Analysts are monitoring whether TVL growth or broader market conditions will influence the next phase of price action. Some have even positioned XLM as a 2025 breakout candidate, drawing parallels with Solana’s recent performance [1].
The $0.77 target remains conditional on a successful breakout above $0.50 with strong volume. If XLM fails to sustain momentum beyond this level, the bullish case could weaken, potentially leading to a pullback or sideways consolidation [2]. Investors and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely for confirmation before taking positions [1].
Source:
[1]title1.............................(https://www.ainvest.com/news/xlm-nears-0-50-breakout-bullish-patterns-80-tvl-surge-2508/)
[2]title2.............................(https://www.xt.com/en/blog/post/stellar-xlm-surges-12-this-week-0-7733-next-milestone)
[3]title3.............................(https://u.today/stellar-xlm-eyes-xrp-style-upside-with-inverse-head-and-shoulders)

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