Stellar's Oversold Dip Could Spark $0.64 Rally by September 2025

Stellar (XLM) is positioned for a potential rebound in September 2025 following a significant decline in August. Historical data and technical chart patterns suggest a cautious optimism for the cryptocurrency, with several analysts and technical indicators pointing to possible price movements. Current trading levels and market sentiment indicate that XLM could see a short-term recovery and potentially extend its gains in the coming weeks.

The latest price predictions for Stellar show a range of targets, with the most immediate being a move to between $0.42 and $0.48 within the next week, representing a 13-30% increase from the current price of $0.37. Medium-term forecasts extend this range to between $0.48 and $0.65, with the September 2025 high expected to fall within this bracket. Analysts from Finbold and Traders Union have highlighted these ranges, with the former projecting a high-confidence target of $0.487 and the latter suggesting a more bullish scenario of $0.64643516, a 75% gain from current levels.

The technical analysis of XLM reveals a cryptocurrency in a critical position. At $0.37, Stellar is close to the lower boundary of its Bollinger Band at $0.36, indicating an oversold condition that historically precedes a rebound. The RSI is at 40.30, still in neutral territory, which leaves room for upward movement without entering overbought levels. The MACD histogram at -0.0059 signals ongoing bearish momentum, and a reversal of this trend is necessary for a sustained rally. The convergence of the MACD lines (-0.0085 vs -0.0025) suggests that this reversal may be imminent.

The volume analysis further supports the potential for a significant price movement. With $27.6 million in trading activity on Binance, there is sufficient volume to support meaningful price action. The key resistance cluster between $0.41 and $0.42 represents the SMA 20 and SMA 50 levels that have historically capped Stellar’s gains.

In the bullish scenario, breaking above $0.42 would trigger algorithmic buying and potentially lead to a price movement toward $0.47. A successful break of $0.47 opens the path to $0.52, representing a 40% gain from current levels. The ultimate target remains the September forecast of $0.64, which would require sustained momentum and broader market support. Technical indicators such as RSI moving above 50, MACD histogram turning positive, and price reclaiming the Bollinger Band middle line at $0.41 are expected to be key catalysts for this scenario.

On the bearish side, the current support is at $0.36. A breakdown below this level would target the strong support zone at $0.30, representing the SMA 200 and a potential 19% decline. Should XLM fail to hold above $0.30, it could retest the 52-week low at $0.22. However, the MACD divergence suggests that any downside movement may be limited in scope.

Given the current technical positioning, a measured approach to accumulating XLM is advised. The optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions between $0.36 and $0.38, with the lower Bollinger Band providing natural support. Conservative traders should wait for confirmation above $0.39 (the 7-day SMA) before initiating positions, while more aggressive investors can capitalize on current oversold conditions. Stop-loss placement below $0.35 provides reasonable risk management, representing a 5-8% maximum loss from current entry points.

In conclusion, the Stellar price forecast presents a compelling risk-reward setup, with the price potentially rising between $0.42 and $0.48 in the short term and reaching $0.64 by September 2025. The medium-to-high confidence level is based on analyst consensus and technical support levels. Key indicators to monitor include RSI recovery above 45, MACD histogram reversal, and sustained trading above the $0.38 pivot point. The prediction timeline suggests initial movement within 5-7 trading days, with the September targets requiring sustained momentum through late Q3 2025.

Source:

[1] XLM Price Prediction: Stellar Eyes $0.48 Breakout as ... (https://blockchain.news/news/20250829-price-prediction-xlm-stellar-eyes-048-breakout-as-technical)

[2] Stellar Price Forecast: XLM shows early signs of recovery (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1074833-20250828)