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Stellar Lumens (XLM) has recently completed its fourth wave near the $0.40 mark, setting the stage for a potential rise to $0.50 if buying strength remains robust. The support zone around $0.395 has held steady, with buyers continuing to push the price toward higher levels. Volume and wave signals indicate that the price has room to climb, and traders are closely watching $0.50 as the next significant resistance level.
Analysts tracking the active wave structure of XLM suggest a possible breakout, with a chart posted on July 13, 2025, showing XLM nearing the end of its fourth wave. This pattern hints at a strong move following the completion of the wave. Fibonacci levels and volume clusters support this view, with upward targets set between $0.50 and $0.55. The Elliott Wave pattern suggests that XLM may be finishing wave (iv), with a potential move into wave (v) targeting higher resistance. The previous wave (iii) showed strong upward momentum that pushed the price above key Fibonacci zones, including the 1.618 and 2.618 levels.
Market participants are optimistic about XLM's prospects, with user @MichaelCrypto on X stating, “If XLM is done with 4th here… God damn it’s about to send,” highlighting bullish expectations among market watchers. The trading chart confirms this view, showing rising moving averages, elevated volume nodes, and support levels above $0.39. The price has also reclaimed $0.40 after a brief dip, which may now act as an immediate support level.
Critical Fibonacci extensions, including 1.618 at $0.2765, 2.618 at $0.3056, and 3.618 at $0.3382, have served as key turning points during the previous rally and now form part of the upward roadmap. The price has respected these extensions, forming wave structures that remain within a bullish trend. An ascending pattern supported by trendlines and moving averages strengthens the setup. Indicators such as the Stochastic RSI and RSI show the price cooling off briefly before another potential leg upward. The volume profile also shows high activity at $0.384, confirming demand in that zone.
Support appears strongest near $0.395, a level also mentioned by @MichaelCrypto. That zone may determine whether XLM builds toward $0.45 or retests lower consolidation zones. Traders have pointed out that as long as the price remains above this level, the bullish outlook stays valid. Market participants are now watching for the next wave breakout. If wave (v) unfolds as forecasted, the price could rise above $0.45 and challenge $0.50 resistance. A sustained break beyond $0.50 would then open the path toward $0.55 or higher, matching volume target zones.
The key question now is whether
Lumens can maintain momentum and close above $0.50 during this wave cycle. Based on the current setup, the price structure has followed typical impulse behavior. Wave (i) began near $0.25, and wave (iii) peaked above $0.40, reflecting aggressive buyer activity. If wave (v) continues this pattern, the $0.50 to $0.55 range becomes a logical upside target. Analyst commentary and wave positioning both align with the possibility of further gains. @MichaelCrypto confirmed he views $0.395 as critical support, and recent price action confirms that level has held firm. If XLM remains above that line, then a continuation toward the upper Fibonacci extensions may follow.Volume indicators confirm strong interest between $0.384 and $0.403. These zones now form a solid base. With the price still riding moving averages and completing a wave pattern, the market will focus on the next move above resistance lines. The overall sentiment remains bullish, with traders and analysts closely monitoring the price action to determine the next significant move for Stellar Lumens.

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