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Steel Dynamics: KeyBanc Upgrade Spotlights Operational Strength and Tariff Benefits

Theodore QuinnTuesday, Feb 11, 2025 12:59 pm ET
3min read



Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ/GS: STLD) has received a significant boost from KeyBanc Capital Markets, which upgraded the company's stock rating from "sector weight" to "overweight." This upgrade reflects the investment firm's strong belief in Steel Dynamics' earnings potential, driven by the company's operational performance and the positive impact of Trump's steel tariffs. KeyBanc analyst Philip Gibbs highlighted the company's favorable position in the current steel pricing environment, which is expected to remain robust through 2025.



The ongoing benefits from Section 232 tariffs, imposed by former President Donald Trump in 2018, have created a beneficial business climate for Steel Dynamics. These tariffs, which impose a 25% tax on imported steel and a 10% tax on imported aluminum, have allowed the company to thrive by protecting American steelmakers from foreign competition. Gibbs noted that Steel Dynamics has effectively passed on higher costs to its customers, maintaining profit margins and demonstrating the strength of its balance sheet and cash flow generation capabilities.

Gibbs made a bold prediction regarding Steel Dynamics' earnings per share (EPS), anticipating that the EPS will reach $6.50 by 2025, which is higher than the consensus estimate of $5.85. In light of this optimistic forecast, Gibbs raised his price target for Steel Dynamics stock from $45 to $55. KeyBanc is not alone in recognizing the advantages that Trump's steel tariffs have provided for Steel Dynamics. Credit Suisse analyst Curt Woodworth has also commented positively on the company, attributing its success to its low-cost operating structure and strong cash generation capabilities.



The recent upgrade by KeyBanc, along with the encouraging remarks from Credit Suisse, has significantly boosted investor confidence in Steel Dynamics. As a result, the company's stock price has seen a notable increase, reflecting the growing optimism surrounding Steel Dynamics' growth prospects. In summary, KeyBanc's upgrade of Steel Dynamics stock underscores the importance of Trump's steel tariffs as a catalyst for the company's growth. The investment firm believes that Steel Dynamics is well-positioned to thrive in the current steel pricing environment. With predictions of earnings surpassing expectations, the upgrade has fostered a positive sentiment among investors. The favorable comments from other investment firms further reinforce this optimism. As Steel Dynamics continues to navigate the steel market, its strong financial position and ability to adapt to changing conditions will be crucial. The combination of these factors suggests a promising future for Steel Dynamics, making it a company to watch in the steel industry.
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