Stacks/Tether Market Overview: 24-Hour Technical Breakdown for STXUSDT
• STX/USDT rose 4.4% over 24 hours, forming a bullish ascending triangle on the 15-minute chart.
• Volume spiked significantly during the early New York session, confirming a breakout above resistance at 0.575.
• RSI and MACD signaled positive momentum, with RSI reaching overbought territory near 70.
• Bollinger Bands expanded, reflecting heightened volatility and strong directional bias.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed at key support near 0.568, validating a potential reversal.
Stacks/Tether (STXUSDT) opened at $0.563 on 2025-09-30 12:00 ET and closed at $0.596 as of 2025-10-01 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high and low were $0.599 and $0.562, respectively. Total traded volume reached approximately 1,633,172.9 STXSTX--, with notional turnover of around $956,060 USD. The pair exhibited a strong bullish bias amid increasing buying pressure, especially in the afternoon and evening hours in New York.
Key support levels emerged at $0.568 and $0.571, with the former acting as a critical psychological and technical floor. Resistance formed at $0.575 and $0.588, both of which were tested and broken during the session. A notable bullish engulfing pattern formed near $0.568, confirming a reversal from a previous downtrend. The ascending triangle pattern, which formed between $0.568 and $0.575, was decisively broken to the upside on high volume.
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart both crossed to the upside, supporting the bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands saw a significant expansion, with price closing near the upper band, signaling heightened volatility. RSI reached overbought levels above 70, while the MACD crossed above the signal line with a strong positive histogram. The price action also aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level from a prior downtrend, reinforcing the strength of the reversal.
Volume spiked to over 200,000 STX at $0.588 during the morning break and again near $0.593 in the early afternoon, both coinciding with price surges. Notional turnover reached $225,000 at the $0.588 level and $116,000 at $0.593. The volume and price divergence appeared to confirm the bullish breakout rather than signal a potential reversal. This suggests strong conviction in the upward move.
Looking ahead, STX/USDT appears poised to testTST-- key resistance at $0.600–$0.605 in the next 24 hours, with a potential continuation of the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious, as the overbought RSI and extended rally increase the risk of a short-term pullback toward $0.585–$0.590. A breakdown below $0.580 could trigger further consolidation or a retest of the $0.571 support zone.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy could involve entering long positions on a confirmed breakout above $0.575 with a stop-loss placed below the $0.568 support level. Given the ascending triangle and bullish engulfing pattern, a stop-loss just below $0.567 would limit risk while preserving reward potential. The take-profit level could be set at $0.590 initially, with a trailing stop or additional targets at $0.600 and $0.610 based on Fibonacci extensions. This setup aligns with the observed momentum and volume patterns, making it a viable high-probability trade idea for the next 48 hours.
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