SRAD Gaps to a New 52-Week Low After Q2 Miss and Guidance Cut
Sportradar Group (SRAD) gapped down about 17% on Monday after its second-quarter results missed on both earnings and revenue and full-year guidance came in below consensus, according to Yahoo Finance market movers. The drop pushed the stock to a new 52-week low at $11.55 and broke it below every major moving average. The technical conflict is now between an oversold momentum reading and a trend structure that is still pointing lower.
Why This Setup Matters Now
SRAD appeared on the Yahoo Finance day losers screen with a double-digit decline after Investing.com reported the earnings miss and the weak outlook. Adjusted EPS came in at EUR 0.00 against a EUR 0.06 consensus, revenue rose 19% to EUR 378 million but missed the EUR 381.9 million estimate, and the fiscal 2026 revenue midpoint of EUR 1.526 billion was well below the EUR 1.56 billion consensus. The company still grew adjusted EBITDA 19% to EUR 76 million and repurchased $140 million of shares, per the company press release, but the market focused on the guidance cut. Quote data below is from Yahoo Finance.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Last price | $12.07 (-16.98%) |
| Previous close | $14.54 |
| Day range | $11.55 to $12.10 |
| 52-week range | $11.55 to $32.22 |
| Volume | 3.76 million shares |
| Market cap | About $3.57B |
| Source | Yahoo Finance |
Quick Read
The main question is whether today marks a capitulation low or the start of a deeper move. A close back above the pre-earnings close would start to repair the breakdown, while a close below the new 52-week low would confirm continuation.
| Question | Read |
|---|---|
| Bias | Bearish after trend break |
| Key test | $11.55 (52-week low) |
| Reversal trigger | Close above $14.54 |
| Risk signal | Close below $11.55 |
Technical Bias
The scorecard is one-sided to the downside. Price sits below the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day averages, and the single-session decline is the largest in the past year, based on daily chart data from Yahoo Finance.
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Long-term trend | Bearish, about -34% below SMA200 |
| Short-term trend | Bearish, below SMA20 and SMA50 |
| Momentum | RSI(14) near 27, oversold |
| Volume | About 1.8x the 20-day average |
| Structure | New 52-week low intraday |
Key Levels To Watch
The gap left between the previous close and today's open defines the near-term map. Levels above the close are derived zones, not confirmed historical support. Intraday and chart data come from Yahoo Finance.
| Level | Note |
|---|---|
| $14.54 | Previous close, top of the gap (watch area) |
| $13.50 | Round-number zone (derived) |
| $12.60 | Intraday recovery zone (derived) |
| $11.55 | Today's low, new 52-week low |
| $11.00 | Round-number zone (derived) |
Scenario Map
| Scenario | Trigger | Path |
|---|---|---|
| Bearish continuation | Close below $11.55 | Next watch $11.00 then $10.50 |
| Stabilization | Higher low above $11.55 | Range $11.55 to $13.50 |
| Gap fill | Close above $14.54 | Retest near SMA20 at $14.80 |
Momentum And Volume Check
Volume expanded to about 3.76 million shares versus a 20-day average near 2.09 million, roughly 1.8x normal, per Yahoo Finance. The oversold RSI reading can produce bounces, but it does not by itself mark a bottom, and the stock is still about 62% below its 52-week high.
| Indicator | Reading |
|---|---|
| RSI(14) | Near 27, oversold zone |
| Volume ratio | About 1.8x the 20-day average |
| Distance below SMA200 | About -34% |
| One-week change | About -18% |
| Drawdown from 52-week high | About -62% |
What Would Change The View
| Signal | What it would mean |
|---|---|
| Close above $14.54 | Fills the gap, neutralizes the breakdown |
| Close below $11.55 | Confirms bearish continuation |
| Down day on volume above 6M | Fresh distribution pressure |
| Two higher lows above $12.00 | Possible base-building signal |
Bottom Line
Bottom line: SRADSRAD-- remains bearish as long as it trades below the $14.54 pre-earnings close. A move above $14.54 would strengthen the setup, while a break below $11.55 would weaken the chart.
Summary
- SRAD fell about 17% after a Q2 earnings miss and a below-consensus full-year revenue outlook, per Investing.com.
- The stock traded to a new 52-week low of $11.55 and closed below its 20-, 50-, and 200-day averages, based on Yahoo Finance data.
- Volume ran about 1.8x the 20-day average and RSI(14) sits near 27, an oversold reading.
- The gap top at $14.54 is the key reversal zone, while $11.55 is the support that must hold.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Technical indicators can help frame risk and momentum, but they do not guarantee future price movement.
Everything leaves a footprint. The chart already knows.
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