SPY Options Signal Deep Bearish Sentiment: How Traders Can Navigate the $680 Crucible

Generated by AI AgentOptions FocusReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Friday, Dec 12, 2025 12:19 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- SPY drops 1.17% below $683.31 support, triggering bearish options activity with put/call ratio at 2.02.

- Whale trades show 6,000 calls at $657 and 1,220 puts at $680, signaling hedging and long-term bullish positioning.

- Extreme bearish sentiment dominates via $555 puts (504,253 contracts), yet $700 calls hint at contrarian rebound bets.

- $680 becomes critical battleground: break below risks accelerated decline, while 30D support could reignite bullish trends.

  • SPY plunges 1.17% to $681.09, breaking below key 30D support at $683.31
  • Put/call open interest ratio soars to 2.02, with $555 puts dominating the fear map
  • Block trades show whales buying 6,000 calls at $657 and 1,220 puts at $680

Here’s what’s happening: SPY’s freefall has triggered a bearish stampede in options markets, but technicals still whisper long-term bullish resolve. The $680 level has become a battlefield—traders need to decide whether to defend it or position for a breakdown.

The Bearish Overload: Puts at $555 and Calls at $700 Tell a Story

Options data screams caution. Put open interest is concentrated at absurdly low strikes like $555 (504,253 contracts) and $515 (251,845), while next Friday’s $505 puts ($216,183 OI) show panic is spreading. This isn’t just bearish—it’s apocalyptic. Yet the call side isn’t dead: $700 calls for next Friday ($102,724 OI) suggest some contrarians are betting on a rebound.

Block trades add intrigue. A 6,000-lot call purchase at SPY20250930C657 (Sep 30 expiry) hints at long-term bullish positioning, while the 1,220 puts at SPY20250916P680 suggest hedging ahead of earnings seasons. The message? Institutions are buying insurance but keeping call options alive for a potential bounce.

No News, But Macro Fears Are Enough

There’s no SPY-specific news in the 3-day window, yet options activity mirrors broader market jitters. Investors are conflating S&P 500 volatility with SPY’s fundamentals. Think about it: when the broader index dips, ETFs like

become collateral damage. Consumer perception turns cautious—retail traders sell calls, institutions load up on puts. It’s a self-fulfilling cycle.

Actionable Plays: Defend $680 or Profit from the Dive

For options traders:

  • Sell puts at if SPY holds above $683.31 (30D support). The $670 strike has 36,600 OI this Friday—high enough to create a liquidity magnet.
  • Buy a call spread with (30,190 OI) and (102,724 OI) if SPY rallies above $688.88 intraday high. The RSI at 88 suggests overbought conditions could reverse.

For stock traders:

  • Enter long near $683.31 if SPY bounces off the 30D support line. Target $690.04 (30D resistance) with a stop below $679.17 (intraday low).
  • Short SPY above $688.19 with a tight stop at $685.32 (200D support). The MACD histogram at 1.28 shows momentum fading—this could be the peak.

Volatility on the Horizon: The $680 Crossroads

SPY sits at a make-or-break moment. The Bollinger Bands show price is near the lower band ($653.89), but the 200D MA at $619.65 is a distant floor. Traders must watch the $680-685 range like hawks—break below and the puts at $555 could accelerate the slide. Hold above and the 30D support might reignite the long-term bullish trend. Either way, options markets have priced in extreme scenarios—now it’s about execution speed.

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