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Here’s what’s happening: SPY’s freefall has triggered a bearish stampede in options markets, but technicals still whisper long-term bullish resolve. The $680 level has become a battlefield—traders need to decide whether to defend it or position for a breakdown.
The Bearish Overload: Puts at $555 and Calls at $700 Tell a StoryOptions data screams caution. Put open interest is concentrated at absurdly low strikes like $555 (504,253 contracts) and $515 (251,845), while next Friday’s $505 puts ($216,183 OI) show panic is spreading. This isn’t just bearish—it’s apocalyptic. Yet the call side isn’t dead: $700 calls for next Friday ($102,724 OI) suggest some contrarians are betting on a rebound.
Block trades add intrigue. A 6,000-lot call purchase at SPY20250930C657 (Sep 30 expiry) hints at long-term bullish positioning, while the 1,220 puts at SPY20250916P680 suggest hedging ahead of earnings seasons. The message? Institutions are buying insurance but keeping call options alive for a potential bounce.
No News, But Macro Fears Are EnoughThere’s no SPY-specific news in the 3-day window, yet options activity mirrors broader market jitters. Investors are conflating S&P 500 volatility with SPY’s fundamentals. Think about it: when the broader index dips, ETFs like
become collateral damage. Consumer perception turns cautious—retail traders sell calls, institutions load up on puts. It’s a self-fulfilling cycle.Actionable Plays: Defend $680 or Profit from the DiveFor options traders:
For stock traders:
SPY sits at a make-or-break moment. The Bollinger Bands show price is near the lower band ($653.89), but the 200D MA at $619.65 is a distant floor. Traders must watch the $680-685 range like hawks—break below and the puts at $555 could accelerate the slide. Hold above and the 30D support might reignite the long-term bullish trend. Either way, options markets have priced in extreme scenarios—now it’s about execution speed.

Focus on daily option trades

Dec.12 2025

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