South Korean Stock Market Surges 33% YTD on Semiconductor and AI Demand

Thursday, Aug 7, 2025 8:35 am ET1min read

The KOSPI index in South Korea has returned a 33% YTD performance, driven by growing demand for semiconductors and AI. Companies such as FLKR are benefiting from these tailwinds, making them a good investment opportunity.

The recent U.S.-South Korea trade deal, which includes a 15% tariff on South Korean imports and a promise of $350 billion in U.S. investments, has significant implications for the ETF market. This deal may lift U.S. infrastructure, energy, and industrial ETFs, while putting pressure on export-heavy ETFs like EWY [1].

Investors are pivoting to sector rotation, volatility hedges, and small-cap U.S. ETFs to capitalize on trade-driven shifts. The deal's impact on South Korea's equity markets is evident, with the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF EWY rising by almost 43% year-to-date, driven by hopes for trade clarity [1]. However, the 15% tariff may lead to capital rotation among sectors, with export-intensive sectors like electronics, autos, and semiconductors facing the brunt of the impact [1].

U.S. sector ETFs are poised to benefit from the trade deal. Infrastructure and industrials ETFs, such as the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF PAVE and iShares U.S. Industrials ETF IYJ, may see heightened scrutiny and potential flows due to Korean capital [1]. Semiconductors, with South Korea's tech muscle and U.S. chip policy tailwinds, could also experience increased interest, as seen in funds like the VanEck Semiconductor ETF SMH and iShares Semiconductor ETF SOXX [1]. Energy ETFs, such as the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE and iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF IEO, stand to gain from South Korea's $100 billion energy buy-in [1].

Despite the deal, geopolitical risk remains, and investors may seek volatility hedges and defensive plays. Minimum volatility ETFs like iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF USMV, domestic small-cap ETFs like the iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF IJR, and gold ETFs such as SPDR Gold Shares GLD or iShares Gold Trust IAU may be attractive options [1].

The KOSPI index in South Korea has returned a 33% YTD performance, driven by growing demand for semiconductors and AI. Companies like FLKR are benefiting from these tailwinds, making them a good investment opportunity [3]. This trend underscores the importance of staying informed about sector-specific plays and geopolitical shifts in the ETF market.

References:
[1] https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/25/07/46763938/from-seoul-to-wall-street-how-trumps-south-korea-tariff-truce-could-reshape-etf-strategies
[2] https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/sampo-rises-2-after-q2-profit-tops-forecasts-driven-by-investment-gains-4172096
[3] https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-stocks-riding-the-ai-data-center-buildout-wave-200664909

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