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South Korea Set for More Turmoil After Yoon Escapes Impeachment

Wesley ParkSunday, Dec 8, 2024 7:36 am ET
4min read


The political landscape in South Korea has been anything but stable in recent months, with President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief imposition of martial law and subsequent impeachment crisis sending shockwaves through the market. As Yoon escapes impeachment, the country braces for more turmoil, raising concerns about the impact on foreign investment and the "Korea Discount."

The "Korea Discount" refers to the traditionally lower valuation of Korean stocks compared to global peers, attributed to political instability, regulatory challenges, and lower foreign ownership. The recent political turmoil has renewed focus on this discount, with the won plunging and stocks closing down 1.4%. Foreign investors have been pulling money out of South Korea's stock market since August, with outflows exceeding $14 billion over four months. The latest political crisis may further discourage international investment, exacerbating the Korea Discount.

The impeachment crisis has also raised concerns about the valuation of South Korean companies, particularly those with significant foreign ownership. Foreign investors have been pulling money out of the country, with outflows exceeding $14 billion since August. The latest political crisis may further discourage international investment, affecting the valuation of companies with substantial foreign ownership.

Political instability in South Korea may deter foreign direct investment (FDI), with the "Korea Discount" being exacerbated by the crisis. Foreign investors have pulled out over $14 billion since August, and the latest turmoil may further discourage investment. Sectors like semiconductors, which rely heavily on FDI, could be most affected. Geopolitical tensions and labor market dynamics may also impact semiconductor supply chains, making independent corporate initiatives crucial.

To mitigate the impact of political instability on foreign investment and restore investor confidence, South Korean companies and the government should focus on transparency, stability, and long-term growth. Companies should emphasize robust management, enduring business models, and strategic acquisitions for organic growth, as seen with Salesforce. The government should prioritize risk management, informed market predictions, and thoughtful asset allocation. Additionally, addressing labor market dynamics, wage inflation, and geopolitical tensions affecting semiconductor supply chains will be crucial. By taking these steps, South Korea can attract and retain foreign investment, fostering a more stable and predictable investment environment.




In conclusion, the political turmoil in South Korea, following President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief imposition of martial law and subsequent impeachment crisis, has raised concerns about the impact on foreign investment and the "Korea Discount." To mitigate the impact on foreign investment and restore investor confidence, South Korean companies and the government should focus on transparency, stability, and long-term growth. By taking these steps, South Korea can attract and retain foreign investment, fostering a more stable and predictable investment environment.
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