First Solar Slides 0.96 as Trading Volume Ranks 397th Amid Mixed Earnings Outlook and Analyst Price Target Adjustments

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Wednesday, Jul 30, 2025 3:32 am ET1min read
FSLR--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- First Solar (FSLR) fell 0.96% to $181.82 on July 29, trading below its $262.72 52-week high with 1.51M shares traded.

- Q2 revenue is projected to rise 3.5% to $1.05B, slower than 24.6% growth in 2024, amid five of eight quarters missing guidance.

- Analysts cut price targets to $200–$202 but kept "buy" ratings, while KeyCorp downgraded to "underweight" with a $100 target.

- Institutional ownership rose to 92.08% as RD Finance and UBS AM increased stakes, contrasting with mixed earnings expectations.

- A top-volume stock holding strategy (2022-2025) delivered 166.71% returns, outperforming benchmarks with 31.89% CAGR and 1.14 Sharpe ratio.

On July 29, 2025, First SolarFSLR-- (FSLR) closed at $181.82, down 0.96% with a trading volume of 1.51 million shares, placing it 397th in daily trading activity. The stock traded below its 52-week high of $262.72 but remains within a range of $116.56 to $262.72 over the past year.

Analysts anticipate mixed earnings results ahead of First Solar’s July 31 report. While Q2 revenue is expected to rise 3.5% year-on-year to $1.05 billion, this represents a slowdown from the 24.6% growth seen in the same quarter of 2024. The company has missed revenue and EPS guidance in five of the last eight quarters, raising concerns about its ability to meet expectations this time. Institutional investors, however, have shown renewed interest, with RD Finance Ltd acquiring a $2.24 million stake in Q1 and several major firms increasing holdings in Q4 2024.

Recent analyst activity highlights a cautiously optimistic outlook. TD Cowen and Guggenheim lowered price targets to $200–$202 but maintained "buy" ratings, while KeyCorpKEY-- cut its stance to "underweight" with a $100 target. The average analyst price target stands at $204.38, 12.5% above the current price. Institutional ownership now accounts for 92.08% of shares, with key holders including Geode Capital and UBS AM, which added 2–13% to their stakes in Q4 2024.

Backtesting data from 2022 to 2025 shows a strategy of holding top-volume stocks for one day generated 166.71% returns, outperforming the 29.18% benchmark. The approach delivered a 31.89% CAGR with a Sharpe ratio of 1.14 and zero maximum drawdown, suggesting strong risk-adjusted performance.

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