Solana (SOL): A Technical Breakout on the Horizon as 21EMA and Point of Control Align for a $156–$167 Upside Move

The cryptocurrency market is no stranger to volatility, but Solana (SOL) is emerging as a standout case study in technical precision. Recent price action has revealed a compelling alignment between the 21-day exponential moving average (21 EMA) and the Point of Control (POC), creating a bullish setup that could propel SOL toward $156–$167 in 2025. This analysis unpacks the mechanics of this setup, supported by momentum indicators and on-chain dynamics, to argue that Solana is primed for a breakout.

The 21 EMA and POC: A Confluence of Technical Strength

The 21 EMA has long served as a critical liquidity benchmark for Solana, acting as both a dynamic support level and a gauge of buyer resilience. Recent data shows that SOL has bounced cleanly from this moving average, with price action consolidating above it-a sign of strong institutional participation and short-term trend integrity. Simultaneously, the POC-a level representing the highest volume of trades over a given period-has aligned with the 21 EMA, reinforcing the idea that this zone is a magnet for capital inflows.

This alignment is not coincidental. In technical market structure, when the 21 EMA and POC converge, it signals a high-probability continuation pattern. Buyers stepping in at this level have effectively invalidated bearish scenarios, shifting the balance of power toward a bullish rotation. A successful retest of the POC would likely trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders above $156, a level that has historically acted as a multi-timeframe resistance.

Momentum Confirmation: RSI, MACD, and the Path to $167

Momentum indicators further validate the case for an extended rally. The Relative Strength Index has shown a steady climb out of oversold territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has turned positive, reflecting growing buying pressure. These signals suggest that the recent consolidation phase is a prelude to a higher-beta move, rather than a trend reversal.

Looking ahead, the $156–$167 range represents a critical inflection point. If SOL breaches $156, the next target becomes $167- a level identified by multiple analysts as a key psychological and structural resistance. Projections from CoinCodex and other platforms suggest that average prices could reach $160–$167 by early 2026, with highs potentially touching $169 under favorable macroeconomic conditions. This trajectory hinges on Solana maintaining its on-chain growth metrics, including transaction volume and developer activity, which remain robust.

Risk Considerations and the Road Ahead

While the technicals are compelling, risks persist. A breakdown below the 21 EMA would invalidate the bullish case, potentially triggering a retest of lower support levels. However, given the current alignment of the 21 EMA and POC, coupled with improving momentum, the odds of a sustained rally appear favorable.

For investors, the key is to monitor the $156 level as a binary decision point. A clean close above this threshold would likely attract macro funds and retail buyers, accelerating the move toward $167. Conversely, a failure to hold above the 21 EMA could extend the consolidation phase, delaying the breakout.

Conclusion

Solana's technical setup is a masterclass in market structure. The confluence of the 21 EMA and POC, paired with momentum confirmation, creates a high-conviction trade for those positioned to capitalize on a potential breakout. While the $156–$167 target is not guaranteed, the current data strongly suggests that Solana is in the early stages of a trend that could redefine its price trajectory in 2025.