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Solana's active addresses have fallen to a 12-month low as the recent memecoin-driven hype on the blockchain appears to be waning, according to on-chain data. The decline follows a period of intense speculation around Solana-based tokens, which had previously driven significant user activity on the network. While decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes on
briefly surged above $5 billion in late November, the broader trend reflects a cooling in retail-driven demand, analysts say .The drop in active addresses contrasts with Solana's recent price performance, which saw the token reclaim the $165 level after a five-day consolidation period. Despite this, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term reversal as the asset approaches key resistance near the 20-day moving average. The Breakout Probability (Expo) indicator currently assigns a 29% chance of a bullish breakout toward $180, while a 62% probability of a pullback to the $150 support zone signals caution among traders, as
noted.Meanwhile, Solana's DeFi ecosystem has shown resilience amid the broader slump. Data from Defillama highlighted that Solana's DEXs recorded $5.11 billion in daily trading volume in mid-November, outpacing Ethereum's $3.8 billion and
Chain's $2.95 billion, as reported. The surge in DEX activity underscores a shift in capital toward passive yield-generating strategies within Solana's ecosystem, as investors seek to mitigate downturns rather than exit to stablecoins. This trend is supported by recent staking data, which showed a 2.9 million increase in staked tokens between November 7 and 9, temporarily reducing exchange supply and potentially insulating the price from sharp declines, as noted.New U.S. Treasury rules permitting regulated crypto products—including ETFs and trusts—to earn staking rewards are expected to further boost staking activity on Solana. The development comes as institutional interest in the blockchain's infrastructure grows, with projects like Biokript Pro and Superstate advancing tokenization initiatives. For example, Solana Company (HSDT) announced plans to tokenize its shares on Superstate's Opening Bell platform, enabling 24/7 trading and real-time settlements, as
reported.However, challenges remain. Solana's price faces critical resistance at $172, and a failure to break through this level could push the token lower toward $162 or even $155, according to analysts. The network's stablecoin ecosystem, which holds $13.49 billion in assets, remains a key growth driver, with USD Coin (USDC) dominating 62.2% of the market share, as
reported. Yet, competition from and in the stablecoin space remains fierce, with Solana's success hinging on real-world utility rather than market capitalization alone, as noted.As the
frenzy fades, Solana's ability to sustain user activity will depend on its capacity to attract institutional adoption and expand its DeFi offerings. For now, the blockchain's technical indicators and regulatory developments suggest a cautious outlook, with investors closely monitoring for a macro-driven catalyst to reignite momentum.---
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