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Solana (SOL) has emerged as a focal point in the cryptocurrency market, with spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracting over $500 million in inflows, signaling robust institutional interest and potential price momentum, as reported in a
. This capital shift from and highlights Solana's appeal for staking and high-performance blockchain applications. Analysts at Kronos Research project up to $5 billion in U.S. ETF inflows over the next two years, positioning alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in institutional demand, the Coinotag report adds.Technical indicators further bolster optimism. Solana's price chart displays a broadening wedge pattern, suggesting volatility expansion toward $315 if support holds above $185, the Coinotag piece notes. Short-term resistance at $210 could be tested if buyers regain control, with long-term projections pointing to a potential surge past $315. However, recent price action has been mixed: while institutional inflows have stabilized SOL near $185, retail demand has waned, and derivatives data show bearish sentiment among traders, according to an
.
The ETF-driven inflows have created a stark contrast with Bitcoin and Ethereum. Over four days, Solana ETFs garnered $197 million, while Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded outflows totaling $289 million, the Coinotag report shows. Vincent Liu, CIO at Kronos Research, attributes this to "capital rotation," as investors seek yield-driven narratives like Solana's proof-of-stake model and fast transaction speeds, according to a
. The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) led the charge, surging 4.99% daily and amassing $222.8 million in assets, the CoinMarketCap article adds.Despite bullish signals, risks persist. Solana's price recently dipped below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and approaches a critical support zone near $174–$177, according to FXStreet, which warns a breakdown below this level could trigger a 10% drop to $153–$156. Derivatives data also show a bearish imbalance, with long liquidations outpacing short liquidations and an active long/short ratio of 0.9102, indicating stronger short positions.
Retail investor sentiment has shown recent resilience. CoinGlass data reveals a 2.73% increase in SOL futures open interest (OI) to $7.64 billion, while the OI-weighted funding rate flipped positive to 0.0066%, reflecting growing bullish intent, per an
. Short liquidations of $7.19 million in the last 24 hours have also outpaced long liquidations, suggesting forced covering of bearish positions.The broader market context adds complexity. While Solana ETFs attract capital, the network's total value locked (TVL) has declined 5.44% to $9.92 billion, and stablecoin liquidity has dropped 8.16% weekly to $13.816 billion, the FXStreet update notes. These trends raise concerns about on-chain demand erosion, though DeFi activity remains robust, with $29 billion in decentralized exchange (DEX) volume recorded in October, according to a
.Looking ahead, Solana's trajectory hinges on macroeconomic factors. Analysts warn that a breakdown below $150 could trigger a 30–40% drop, with Bitcoin's performance acting as a key catalyst, the BeInCrypto analysis warns. Conversely, sustained inflows and network upgrades—such as plans to boost transaction speeds to 1 million per second—could reinforce Solana's institutional adoption.
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