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Solana's native token, SOL, gained approximately 5% recently, prompting analysis of long-term price charts for potential indicators of future trends. The surge follows the community’s approval of the Alpenglow upgrade, a pivotal technical overhaul expected to significantly enhance the network’s efficiency and transaction finality. The upgrade introduces Votor and Rotor, two new components set to replace Solana’s existing consensus mechanisms, Proof-of-History and TowerBFT [1]. The upgrade, which received 98.27% approval from stakers, aims to reduce transaction finality times to around 150 milliseconds, a substantial improvement over the current 12 seconds. Analysts suggest this could position
as a more viable option for high-frequency decentralized finance (DeFi) and blockchain-based gaming applications [2].The approval of the Alpenglow upgrade has also generated renewed interest in the Solana price trajectory. Current market data indicates that SOL is trading at $207.21, with a market cap exceeding $90 billion [2]. Technical indicators are showing signs of bullish momentum, particularly with the formation of a cup and handle pattern on the price chart. This pattern suggests potential for a breakout above the $209 resistance level, especially with increasing buy volume observed recently. Additionally, whale activity has increased in the $185–$190 range, signaling a defensive stance if the price were to correct [2].
Speculation around Solana ETFs has further fueled
. Several major issuers, including Grayscale, VanEck, and Fidelity, have submitted ETF filings for Solana. Institutional adoption has also surged, with public companies accumulating over $900 million in Solana holdings [3]. Analysts believe that the approval of these ETFs could act as a significant catalyst, potentially driving the price toward $245. The timing of such approvals, combined with the current golden cross momentum, could determine whether Solana achieves a breakout in the near term.From a broader perspective, historical price patterns suggest that Solana could experience a significant upward movement. Analysts have noted that past golden crosses in the SOL/BTC pair have historically preceded major rallies, including a 1,000% surge in 2023 and a 1,900% gain in 2021 [4]. The current setup mirrors those patterns, with the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day SMA. Furthermore, the Solana price is trading within a megaphone pattern, with resistance levels projected around $295–$300. Institutional demand, including $3 billion in new treasury commitments from firms like
and Multicoin Capital, could further reinforce this bullish outlook [4].However, technical indicators also suggest caution. On the 4-hour chart, a bearish MACD divergence has emerged, with the histogram trending lower despite the price remaining on an ascending trendline. This divergence signals weakening momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the $200 support level if buyers fail to maintain pressure [3]. Analysts recommend that traders remain watchful as Solana approaches key resistance levels, particularly the $220 breakout zone, where confirmation of a sustained move higher could shift the narrative toward a broader rally.
As the market awaits further developments, the convergence of technical momentum, institutional interest, and potential ETF approvals makes the Solana price outlook one of the most closely watched in the cryptocurrency space. Whether the network can sustain its current trajectory will likely depend on how effectively it navigates short-term resistance and whether the broader market conditions continue to favor high-beta assets like Solana.
Source: [1] Solana Set for Major Overhaul After 98% Votes to Approve Historic Alpenglow Upgrade (https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2025/09/02/solana-set-for-major-overhaul-after-98-votes-to-approve-historic-alpenglow-upgrade) [2] Solana Price Prediction After Alpenglow Upgrade (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/solana-price-prediction-alpenglow-upgrade-093845407.html) [3] SOL Eyes $245 Breakout as Golden Cross and ETF Buzz Align (https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/solana-price-prediction-sol-eyes-245-breakout-as-golden-cross-and-etf-buzz-align) [4] Solana vs.
chart points to explosive SOL price rally, $300 target (https://cointelegraph.com/news/solana-vs-btc-chart-points-to-explosive-breakout-sol-price-300)
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