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Solana (SOL-USD) has demonstrated resilience in recent trading sessions, defending key support levels amid heavy options expiries and broader market volatility. On August 29, SOL traded near $205 after fluctuating between $200.44 and $217.84, maintaining a modest weekly gain of 0.52%. The $200 level has emerged as a critical psychological and technical floor, with repeated buying interest reinforcing its importance as a base for potential follow-through gains [1].
The broader institutional and DeFi environment has been a key driver of bullish sentiment. Solana’s ecosystem has seen Total Value Locked (TVL) reach $34 billion, nearly 200% higher than the previous year, fueled by growth in liquidity platforms like Kamino, Jito, and Raydium. Institutional adoption has also accelerated, with major firms such as VanEck and
expanding Solana-linked product offerings and integrating the blockchain into its infrastructure. Whale activity has also surged, with Solana-based project buybacks rising 158% in two weeks, now accounting for 40% of all crypto project buybacks [1].Technically, the
price chart continues to show bullish alignment. The RSI at 64 suggests neutral momentum, while moving averages have shifted into a bullish configuration. A breakout above $220 could trigger a retest of $230, a level frequently cited as a significant resistance. Analysts have set longer-term targets around $250, with extended scenarios projecting gains up to $300–$305. A confirmed move beyond $305 could signal the start of a new bull cycle, especially as Ethereum’s Layer 2 solutions attract institutional interest and competition in Layer 1 blockchains intensifies [1].Looking ahead, forward-looking models estimate that SOL could trade between $230 and $246 in 2026, with more aggressive projections reaching $360–$419 under favorable conditions. Institutional accumulation, potential ETF filings, and expanded DeFi adoption remain key upside catalysts. On the downside, risks include macroeconomic tightening, market saturation, and competition from
and new entrants like , which has partnered with Cloud. Nevertheless, with and Jump Crypto reportedly raising over $1 billion to acquire Solana positions, institutional demand remains robust [1].Emerging narratives also highlight the growing divergence in the crypto market. Projects like Remittix and Layer Brett are attracting speculative capital, particularly from investors seeking high-multiple returns. While Solana maintains its position as a top-five cryptocurrency, speculative small-cap tokens are drawing attention as potential 50x–100x plays. This trend underscores the expanding fragmentation in crypto, with established large caps like Solana continuing to compete with niche projects in a rapidly evolving ecosystem [1].
Source:
[1] Solana Price Forecast: SOL-USD $200 Support Holds as Bulls (https://www.tradingnews.com/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-usd-200-usd-support)
[2] Solana Price Forecast – SOL-USD at $196 Holds $180 ... (https://www.tradingnews.com/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-usd-at-196-usd)

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