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Solana (SOL) has staged a modest recovery after a prolonged consolidation phase, with the token currently trading near $169 and eyeing a critical resistance level of $190. The recent price action follows a sharp decline that saw SOL dip below the key $165 level, testing support at $163.85 amid heightened volatility, as
. Over the past 24 hours, trading volume surged 58% above average as the token navigated a fragile downtrend structure, with multiple failed breakout attempts above $170.50 underscoring the lingering bearish pressure. However, renewed buying interest has emerged, particularly around the $145 support zone, where the price has held firm for over a week, signaling potential accumulation by institutional and retail buyers, as .
The recovery coincides with a surge in ETF activity, which has injected $118 million in inflows over the past week, bringing total year-to-date inflows to $3.3 billion, as
. Bitwise's ETF (BSOL) has been a standout performer, recording $312 million in cumulative inflows over eight consecutive days, while Grayscale's GSOL ETF has lagged, as . These inflows have provided a lifeline for Solana, which has underperformed the broader crypto market by 1.42% relative to the CoinDesk 5 Index (CD5) in recent sessions, as . Meanwhile, Circle's recent minting of 1.25 billion tokens on Solana, bringing the network's total stablecoin supply to $13.825 billion, has further solidified the blockchain's role as a leading platform for stablecoin activity, as .Technical analysis highlights a mixed outlook. While the $145 level has shown resilience, with multiple wicks forming after price rejections, the path to $190 remains fraught with challenges, as
. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this support zone, adding confluence for a potential reversal, as . However, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs have all been breached, signaling bearish confirmation on daily charts, as . indicators such as the RSI and MACD remain weak, hovering near 40 and below the zero line, respectively, as . A detailed price chart of Solana over the last 30 days, showing critical support and resistance levels, as well as major technical indicators like the RSI and MACD. This visualization aids in assessing the likelihood of a sustained bullish rebound. A decisive reclaim of the $180–$200 range, where the value area high and 50-day moving average intersect, would be necessary to validate a sustained bullish rebound, as .Institutional adoption of stablecoins has also gained traction, with Paystand's acquisition of Bitwage expanding USDC and USDT payroll capabilities to 90,000+ workers. This development underscores the growing utility of stablecoins in cross-border transactions, with 2025 stablecoin transfers reaching $9 trillion—nearly half of Visa's annual throughput, as
. Solana's low fees and high throughput make it an attractive platform for such use cases, further cementing its position in the DeFi ecosystem.Despite these positives, risks remain. Recent ETF inflows have weakened, with net inflows dropping to $6.78 million from a peak of $70 million in early November, as
. Analysts caution that a breakdown below $145 could expose deeper support levels at $120–$100, particularly if macroeconomic headwinds persist, as . The broader market's dependence on the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory adds another layer of uncertainty, as hawkish signals have already triggered $360 million in crypto outflows, as .Quickly understand the history and background of various well-known coins

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