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Kalshi, a U.S.-regulated prediction market platform, is accelerating the convergence of crypto and traditional finance through strategic on-chain integrations and regulatory advancements. The platform, which now commands 62.2% of global prediction market volume [1], has outlined plans to integrate with every major crypto exchange and app within 12 months. John Wang, Kalshi's Head of Crypto, emphasized that the crypto community-described as "power users"-is pivotal to expanding the platform's ecosystem of financial primitives and event-driven contracts [2]. This expansion includes real-time event data feeds, AI-driven agents, and partnerships with
and Base to fund on-chain and off-chain innovations [3].Kalshi's regulatory victories have been a cornerstone of its growth. After a 2023 court ruling in its favor against the CFTC, the platform gained the ability to list political contracts, a move that propelled its market share from 3.3% to 66% in a year [4]. This legal clarity, coupled with its CFTC designation as a regulated exchange, has allowed Kalshi to outpace crypto-native rivals like Polymarket, which is now re-entering the U.S. market via a $112 million acquisition of QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange [5].
The launch of KalshiEco, a grants program in collaboration with Solana and Base, underscores the platform's push into blockchain innovation. By offering funding and technical support to developers and creators, Kalshi aims to build tools for tokenized positions, margin trading, and third-party trading interfaces [6]. Wang noted that such initiatives are "purely additive" to Kalshi's core, ensuring existing users are not displaced while attracting crypto-native audiences [2].
Robinhood's partnership with Kalshi to launch U.S. college sports prediction markets exemplifies the blurring lines between crypto and traditional finance. The collaboration reflects a broader trend of fintech platforms leveraging prediction markets to engage retail traders. Robinhood, alongside Stripe and other firms, has also intensified its crypto offerings amid U.S. regulatory reforms, including the Genius Act, which facilitates stablecoin issuance [7].
Despite regulatory headwinds-such as state-level challenges in Nevada and New Jersey over whether prediction markets fall under gambling laws-Kalshi's federal compliance has solidified its dominance. In September 2025, Kalshi's monthly trading volume surpassed $1.3 billion, dwarfing Polymarket's $773 million [1]. The surge was driven by sports and political markets, with the latter seeing over $85 million in volume on the Federal Reserve's rate decision alone .
Analysts suggest prediction markets could redefine financial systems by merging crypto, AI, and real-time data. Bernstein analysts noted that these platforms might become a "new frontier for information," with Kalshi's regulated status and Solana's scalability giving it a competitive edge [3]. However, challenges remain, including liquidity constraints and the need for clearer state-level regulations.
Kalshi's CEO, Tarek Mansour, reiterated the platform's ambition to "build the future of trading the future," emphasizing that the next phase of growth hinges on crypto integration and regulatory alignment. As Robinhood and others enter the space, the convergence of tokenized assets and prediction markets signals a transformative shift in how markets aggregate information and allocate capital.
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