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Solana (SOL) is showing signs of a potential price breakout in September 2025, driven by historical price patterns, technical indicators, and growing institutional demand. Analysts are closely watching the development of a golden cross between the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) for the SOL/BTC pair, a pattern that has historically preceded parabolic rallies in the past. In 2021 and 2023, similar setups resulted in over 1,000% gains in the SOL/USD pair, raising expectations for a potential $300 price target this time around [1].
The golden cross in SOL/BTC suggests a strong bullish bias, with the 50-day SMA moving above the 200-day SMA as of late August. Analysts highlight that these setups have historically coincided with broader "altseasons"—periods where capital shifts from
to high-beta tokens—fueled by events like the DeFi boom of 2021 and the post-FTX recovery in 2023. With (ETH) already outperforming Bitcoin in recent months, the market is starting to exhibit early signs of a similar trend [1].On the technical front,
is currently forming a megaphone pattern, with the upper trendline aligning near the $295–$300 zone as a key resistance level. The price is also trading above both 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages (EMA), and the relative strength index (RSI) remains at a bullish 61, indicating further upside potential [1]. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels point to the $295 area as a critical breakout point, reinforcing the technical case for a move toward $300.Fundamentally, institutional demand for Solana is on the rise, with several major investment firms committing significant capital.
, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital announced plans to raise over $1 billion for a Solana treasury fund, backed by the Solana Foundation [1]. has also pledged $400 million to Solana reserves, and Pantera Capital is pursuing a $1.25 billion Solana-focused investment vehicle. These developments represent nearly $3 billion in institutional demand, offering further support for a potential move toward $300.Retail and institutional activity has also expanded, particularly with the introduction of Robinhood’s micro futures for Solana, which has increased liquidity and broadened access to smaller traders. The platform's recent acquisition of Bitstamp and the launch of Solana futures has amplified institutional exposure. Meanwhile, on-chain metrics show nearly 3 million active wallets, and network throughput has tripled since July, reinforcing a positive fundamental outlook [2].
Other indicators are also contributing to the bullish case. Visa’s pilot project to settle
payments on Solana and VanEck’s filing for a JitoSOL ETF are positioning Solana as a mainstream investment vehicle, potentially attracting new capital from pensions and registered investment advisors [2]. These developments are helping to shift Solana from a speculative asset to a recognized institutional instrument.Market comparisons suggest that Solana is on a similar trajectory to Ethereum, with forecasts ranging from $220 to $300 in the near term, and some analysts projecting $355 by 2026 [2]. On the downside, if the price fails to break through $207, retracements toward $187 and $176 are considered key risk scenarios. However, the current mix of technical strength, institutional flows, and macroeconomic factors tilts the balance toward further upside.
Source:
[1] Solana vs. Bitcoin chart points to explosive SOL price ... (https://cointelegraph.com/news/solana-vs-btc-chart-points-to-explosive-breakout-sol-price-300)
[2] Solana Price Forecast: SOL-USD Eyes Higher Breakout as Institutional Backing Expands (https://www.tradingnews.com/news/solana-price-forecast-sol-usd-climbs-past-207-usd)

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