Solana News Today: Federal Reserve Watch: XRP and Solana Ride the Macro Wave Toward $1,000 Dreams

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Thursday, Sep 4, 2025 8:26 pm ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- XRP and Solana face mixed technical outlooks amid September volatility, with XRP testing critical support below $3 and Solana forming bullish patterns near $210.

- XRP benefits from SEC lawsuit resolution and $1B+ futures open interest, while Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade aims to boost throughput to 100,000 TPS.

- Macroeconomic factors like Fed rate cut expectations and dollar depreciation drive crypto rebounds, with Bitcoin and top-10 coins rising 2%+ in early September.

- Solana’s $13.68B open interest and XRP’s $300M August inflows highlight institutional interest, though Solana’s 99% transaction volume drop raises adoption concerns.

- Market eyes September 6 nonfarm payrolls and September 17 Fed decision, with outcomes potentially shaping risk-on flows to XRP, Solana, and Bitcoin.

XRP and

are both experiencing heightened market attention as September volatility continues to shape the crypto landscape. , currently trading below $3, is facing critical support levels after breaking below a symmetrical triangle pattern, a technical signal that has shifted momentum in favor of sellers [4]. Analysts have noted that the price has struggled to regain traction above the $2.95–$3.00 resistance zone, and without renewed buyer interest or fresh institutional inflows, further downside appears likely. In contrast, the resolution of the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple has improved regulatory clarity for XRP, and the token is still supported by institutional adoption through Ripple’s cross-border settlement network and growing stablecoin initiatives [1]. Open interest on XRP futures recently exceeded $1 billion, a record that underscores strong professional investor participation and suggests potential for price reactivity if institutional demand continues to rise [3].

Solana (SOL), meanwhile, has seen a significant increase in open interest, which hit a record $13.68 billion in early September, reflecting heightened speculative activity in the derivatives market [2]. This surge coincided with the price rallying from $155 to $210 over the course of a week, representing a 36% recovery and reinvigorating bullish sentiment. Technical indicators also support the idea that Solana could continue its upward trajectory, with a weekly chart showing the formation of a bullish megaphone pattern. A breakout above the $330 resistance level could trigger a parabolic rise toward a $1,057 price target, based on Fibonacci retracement analysis and historical pattern performance [2]. The Alpenglow upgrade, approved with 98.27% support, is expected to enhance network performance by reducing transaction finality to 150 milliseconds and increasing throughput to over 100,000 transactions per second, reinforcing Solana’s position as a high-performance alternative to

[2]. However, on-chain metrics remain mixed, with Solana’s transaction volume dropping by 99% in the last 30 days, and daily active addresses declining by 22%, indicating a potential disconnect between price appreciation and actual network usage [2].

The broader crypto market also experienced a rebound in early September, with

and other top-10 cryptocurrencies posting gains of at least 2% as of the week of September 5. This recovery is being attributed to improving macroeconomic conditions, particularly the depreciation of the U.S. dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in mid-September. With a 91.8% probability of a 25-basis-point cut, investors are shifting toward risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies, where the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets is reduced [5]. This trend has been amplified by declining Bitcoin exchange reserves and increased accumulation by long-term holders, both of which suggest growing confidence in the market [5]. For XRP and Solana, this environment could provide a favorable backdrop for further price action, particularly if institutional adoption continues to expand alongside regulatory clarity and network improvements.

The potential for XRP to reach $3.20–$3.40 by year-end remains a topic of discussion, with some analysts projecting higher targets if a U.S. spot ETF is approved [3]. The token is also benefiting from a broader trend of institutional interest, with crypto investment products focused on XRP attracting over $300 million in inflows in August alone [3]. Solana’s price action and network developments suggest that it could also see continued momentum, with bullish forecasts for the token pushing toward $331 by year-end and even $500 in aggressive scenarios [3]. However, the sustainability of these gains will depend on whether on-chain activity aligns with price trends, as a 99% drop in Solana’s transaction count over the past month has raised concerns about the token’s underlying adoption [4].

Looking ahead, the market is closely watching the September 17 Federal Reserve decision and the Nonfarm Payrolls report on September 6, both of which could influence investor sentiment and capital flows into the crypto market. If the labor market data shows signs of cooling—such as a jobs report between 90K and 120K—this could strengthen the case for a rate cut and further support for risk assets like Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana [5]. In the short term, XRP will need to regain control of key resistance levels to avoid further losses, while Solana must continue to attract both institutional and retail participation to sustain its rally. As volatility remains a defining characteristic of the September market, both tokens are positioned as high-reward plays that could see significant price swings based on macroeconomic developments and network performance.

Source:

[1] title1 (https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/xrp-smartest-cryptocurrency-buy-1000-right-now)

[2] title2 (https://cointelegraph.com/news/solana-charts-1000-sol-price-target-open-interest-all-time-highs)

[3] title4 (https://coincentral.com/undervalued-gem-solana-at-204-and-xrp-under-3-still-look-like-smart-buys/)

[4] title5 (https://coinstats.app/news/11420462ce4122d5d471ecfd9e1208ad4c1374fa71100c77288d30e44729b675_Solana-Eyes-Higher-Targets-But-XRP-Holders-Are-Flocking-To-This-ETH-Meme-Coin-With-100x-Potential)

[5] title6 (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-xrp-solana-bounce-back-143252040.html)