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Solana (SOL) Price: Understanding the Impact of March’s $1.6B Token Unlock
Solana's price has been under pressure, trading near $169 with technical indicators suggesting oversold conditions but low buying volume. A major catalyst for potential selling pressure is the upcoming March release of $1.6 billion worth of SOL tokens. Network activity has declined 55% with a significant drop in active addresses, while DEX trading volumes hit a 5-week low at $2.61 billion. Recent ecosystem challenges include three prominent scam incidents (LIBRA, TRUMP, Millenia rug pulls) affecting investor confidence.
Technical analysis suggests potential further decline to $125-130 range if $150-155 support levels fail to hold. Solana's recent market performance has drawn attention as the cryptocurrency faces multiple challenges affecting its price stability. Currently trading near $169, the digital asset has moved away from its January peak above $250, prompting closer examination of various market indicators and network metrics.
The immediate concern for market participants centers on the approaching release of $1.6 billion worth of SOL tokens scheduled for March. This substantial token unlock event comes at a time when the network is already experiencing decreased activity levels, with active addresses showing a 55% reduction from previous highs. Technical analysis reveals that Solana is maintaining a bearish trajectory within a descending channel pattern. The cryptocurrency's price action has established key support levels between $150 and $155, which market observers are closely monitoring. Should these support levels fail to hold, analysts suggest the price could move toward the $125-$130 range.
Current technical indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads at 30.48, while the Money Flow Index (MFI) stands at 37.61, suggesting oversold conditions. However, the notably low buying volume indicates that an immediate price reversal may not be forthcoming. The platform's decentralized exchange (DEX) activity has also shown signs of cooling. Trading volumes have reached a five-week low of $2.61 billion, accompanied by a 28% decrease in on-chain transaction figures. This decline in trading activity occurred alongside a 14% price reduction in February.
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