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On August 20, 2025,
(SOFI) fell 1.01% with a trading volume of $1.93 billion, ranking 36th in market activity. The stock's decline occurred amid broader regulatory shifts in the consumer finance sector, including legal challenges to Biden-era CFPB rules and Supreme Court decisions impacting federal agency operations. These developments heightened uncertainty for lenders like , which relies on structured regulatory frameworks for its personal loan and mortgage services.Market participants observed a flight from risk as SoFi's stock approached its 52-week low of $6.75. The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SOFI ETF (SOFX) experienced a 11.3% drop, amplifying sector-wide concerns. Technical indicators showed mixed signals, with RSI entering oversold territory and
Bands narrowing to $20.35. Options activity intensified, with the SOFI20250829P21 put contract attracting 164,355 trades due to its high gamma sensitivity and elevated implied volatility of 66.29%.Historical backtests revealed a pattern of resilience for SOFI following sharp intraday declines. Over 519 instances of a -6% plunge, the stock showed a 52.79% chance of positive returns within three days and a 50.10% probability of gains over 30 days. The average 30-day return was 3.63%, suggesting potential for recovery despite short-term volatility. Maximum returns during the backtest reached 7.22%, underscoring the stock's capacity to rebound after significant dips.

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