Snowflake’s AI-Driven Surge: Why Now Is the Time to Invest

Harrison BrooksThursday, May 22, 2025 10:41 am ET
13min read

Snowflake (NYSE: SNOW) has emerged as a clear winner in the data cloud race, delivering a Q1 FY2026 earnings beat that not only exceeded expectations but also triggered a wave of analyst upgrades. The company’s strategic focus on AI integration, coupled with margin improvements, is now driving a long-overdue re-rating of its valuation. Here’s why investors should act now.

The Earnings Beat Signals a New Growth Paradigm

Snowflake reported Q1 FY2026 revenue of $1.04 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, easily surpassing the $1.00 billion consensus estimate. Product revenue surged 28% to $997 million, fueled by strong adoption of its AI-driven platform, Snowflake Data Cloud. The net revenue retention rate remained robust at 124%, a testament to customer loyalty and expanding usage. Perhaps most critical: remaining performance obligations (RPO) hit $6.7 billion, up 34% YoY, signaling a pipeline primed for future growth.

The company also raised its full-year product revenue guidance to $4.325 billion, a 24% increase from FY2025. This upward revision, paired with a non-GAAP operating margin of 8.8% (vs. 6% in FY2025), underscores a pivotal shift toward profitability while maintaining growth momentum.

Strategic Product Momentum: AI as the Catalyst

Snowflake’s Cortex AI platform is the linchpin of its current success. Analysts at Needham noted that AI adoption is accelerating faster than expected, with customers leveraging Cortex to automate data workflows, enhance analytics, and derive actionable insights. This has created a flywheel effect: as more data is processed on the platform, Snowflake’s network effects grow stronger, attracting even more users.

The company’s Q1 results reflected this dynamic. Professional services revenue rose 15.7%, as enterprises increasingly seek Snowflake’s expertise to implement AI-driven solutions. Management emphasized that its Systems Engineering team, now specialized in AI use cases, is driving deeper customer engagement—a critical edge in a crowded market.

Analyst upgrades reflect this confidence. Needham raised its price target to $230 from $215, citing Snowflake’s ability to “monetize AI adoption at scale,” while Goldman Sachs upgraded to $230, highlighting the 29.2% revenue growth rate as a sign of sustainable demand.

Margin Improvement: Profitability Meets Growth

Snowflake’s margin trajectory is equally compelling. Non-GAAP operating income hit $91.7 million in Q1, a 74% beat to estimates, with margins expanding to 8.8%. While gross margins dipped slightly to 75% (from previous targets of 77%), this reflects strategic investments in AI development and talent. The trade-off is worth it: Snowflake’s focus on high-margin AI products and customer retention is paying off.

The company now targets 8% non-GAAP operating margins for FY2026, up from 6% in FY2025. With free cash flow margins expected to hit 25% of revenue, Snowflake is proving it can grow profitably even as it scales.

Why the Valuation Re-Rating Is Just Beginning

Snowflake’s stock has rebounded 16% since Q4 2024, but it remains undervalued relative to peers. At a P/S ratio of 8x (vs. 12x for Microsoft’s cloud business), investors are pricing in past execution concerns rather than current fundamentals. The RPO backlog of $6.7 billion and 24% revenue guidance suggest a path to $5 billion+ in product revenue by FY2027, positioning Snowflake for a valuation reset.

Analysts at Evercore ISI and BTIG now see $235–$250 price targets, while JPMorgan’s $230 target reflects confidence in AI’s long-term impact. The key inflection point? Snowflake’s ability to turn AI adoption into predictable, recurring revenue streams—a metric that could finally align its valuation with its market leadership.

Act Now: The Catalysts Are Clear

The case for investing in Snowflake today is threefold:
1. AI-driven demand: Cortex’s adoption is accelerating, with enterprises increasingly prioritizing AI-infused data platforms.
2. Margin expansion: The path to 8%+ operating margins is clear, reducing concerns about unprofitable growth.
3. Analyst consensus: Over 20 analysts have raised price targets, signaling a shift from skepticism to conviction.

With shares trading at $200, Snowflake offers a rare blend of growth, margin upside, and catalyst-driven revaluation. The next few quarters will solidify its AI leadership—investors who miss this window may pay far more later.

The data is in: Snowflake’s strategic bets are paying off. This is a stock to buy—and hold—through the AI revolution.