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SkyWater (SKYT) Tech Gains Momentum as US Chip Manufacturing Resurgence Continues

Jay's InsightTuesday, Dec 31, 2024 4:02 pm ET
2min read

SkyWater Technology has recently attracted attention with a sharp rise in its stock price, fueled by its unique position in the semiconductor industry and growing interest in reshoring chip manufacturing to the United States.

As a pure-play semiconductor foundry based in the US, SkyWater is capitalizing on federal incentives and shifting market dynamics to carve out a competitive niche in a field traditionally dominated by Asian players.

Positioning in the Semiconductor Landscape

SkyWater distinguishes itself as a US-based semiconductor foundry offering advanced process technology development and wafer manufacturing services. This is a notable divergence from the global norm, where most foundries are concentrated in Asia. The pandemic and geopolitical risks, such as tariffs and supply chain disruptions, have heightened the urgency for domestic chip manufacturing, putting SkyWater in a favorable position.

The 2022 CHIPS and Science Act further bolsters this trend by allocating approximately $280 billion to incentivize US chip production. This includes 25 percent investment tax credits for manufacturing equipment, which directly supports companies like SkyWater. Notably, SkyWater predates this legislative push, having been spun out of Cypress Semiconductor in 2017, showcasing its forward-looking approach to domestic semiconductor production.

Innovative Business Model and Diverse Applications

SkyWater has built a robust Advanced Technology Services (ATS) business, combining research and development with high-volume manufacturing under one roof. This model allows the company to engage with customers early in the product development lifecycle and continue to support them as their products move into large-scale production.

The company serves a wide array of high-growth markets, including aerospace and defense, automotive, biomedical, industrial, and quantum computing. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with over-reliance on a single sector and positions SkyWater to benefit from advances across multiple industries.

Recent Catalysts and Future Prospects

SkyWater’s stock has experienced a significant boost since the announcement of a preliminary memorandum of terms with the CHIPS for America program. The proposed funding, valued at up to $16 million, aims to enhance production capabilities at its Minnesota facility. This complements the company’s plans for customer-funded capital expenditure co-investments totaling $320 million through 2026.

Looking ahead to 2025, SkyWater is optimistic about its growth prospects. The company anticipates strong demand from the secure aerospace and defense sector, growing momentum in commercial programs, and an initial ramp-up in its advanced packaging business.

Its ATS segment is poised for continued growth, driven by well-funded initiatives across both defense and commercial markets. Additionally, SkyWater plans to accelerate the development of its fan-out packaging platform, leveraging new tooling capabilities funded by customers.

Challenges and Considerations

While SkyWater is well-positioned to benefit from the reshoring trend and federal incentives, challenges remain. The semiconductor industry is capital-intensive, and scaling production requires significant investment. SkyWater’s reliance on customer-funded investments underscores the importance of maintaining strong client relationships and securing ongoing commitments.

Moreover, competition from established Asian foundries and larger US-based players entering the market with CHIPS Act funding could increase pressure on margins and market share. SkyWater’s success will hinge on its ability to differentiate through innovation, operational efficiency, and strategic partnerships.

Conclusion

SkyWater Technology’s unique position as a US-based semiconductor foundry aligns well with the growing demand for domestic chip production. Its innovative ATS business model, diverse market applications, and strong pipeline of projects place it in a favorable spot for long-term growth.

With support from federal programs and a focus on advanced packaging and secure applications, SkyWater is poised to play a significant role in the evolving semiconductor landscape. However, investors should remain mindful of the challenges inherent in this capital-intensive industry and the competitive pressures that may arise.

Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.