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Shiba Inu (SHIB) has emerged as a focal point for analysts and traders, with technical indicators and on-chain data suggesting a potential 568% rally toward a new all-time high (ATH). The token, currently trading at approximately $0.00001323, is consolidating within a descending triangle pattern that has been forming since its 2021 peak of $0.00008845 [7]. Community analysts, including Heber Mayen and
Spain, highlight the pattern’s proximity to its apex as a critical juncture for a breakout [12]. If SHIB breaks above key resistance levels, it could target $0.0000885, surpassing its previous ATH [11].Technical analysis underscores bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 49.85, indicating neutral territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover, with the MACD line rising above the signal line [11]. Additionally, SHIB’s price action has stabilized above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting short-term support [5]. On-chain data further supports this narrative: long-term holders (those holding SHIB for over a year) have increased by 1.46%, while short-term traders have declined, signaling a shift toward accumulation and reduced sell-side pressure [10].
Analysts point to the role of Shibarium, SHIB’s Layer 2 scaling solution, as a catalyst for sustained growth. The platform’s updates are expected to enhance transaction speed and reduce costs, attracting broader adoption [1]. Shib Spain notes that successful adoption of Shibarium could reinforce SHIB’s ecosystem and drive demand, particularly as institutional interest in blockchain infrastructure grows [7].
Market sentiment also tilts toward optimism. Open interest in SHIB futures has stabilized between $100 million and $200 million, reflecting balanced speculative activity compared to earlier peaks [6]. Furthermore, funding rates on derivatives platforms have shown a subtle shift toward long positions, indicating growing confidence among traders [10]. While short-term volatility remains, the token’s monthly performance—up 8% year-to-date—reinforces a positive outlook [12].
However, risks persist. The descending triangle pattern could resolve downward if key support levels, such as the $0.00001270 zone, fail to hold [7]. Additionally, the surge in SHIB transfers (7.17 trillion in a single day) has raised concerns about whale activity or market manipulation, which could trigger abrupt reversals [3]. Analysts caution that while the 568% target is ambitious, it hinges on sustained buying pressure and favorable macroeconomic conditions, such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts [1].
Despite these uncertainties, the confluence of technical strength, ecosystem development, and growing holder confidence positions SHIB as a compelling case for a breakout. As the token nears the apex of its long-term pattern, traders are closely monitoring volume and price action for confirmation of a sustained rally [10].
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