Shiba Inu (SHIB) Technical Analysis: Navigating the Bearish Trend and Key Fibonacci Levels in November 2025

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has entered a critical juncture in its short-term price action, with technical indicators and liquidity data painting a mixed picture of bearish pressure and potential oversold rebound scenarios. As of November 26, 2025, SHIB trades at approximately $0.00000857, oscillating within a narrow range while testing pivotal Fibonacci retracement levels. This analysis dissects the coin's technical setup, market sentiment, and strategic implications for investors.

Fibonacci Levels: A Crucial Crossroads

SHIB's price trajectory is currently anchored by two key Fibonacci levels. The 1.0 Fibonacci extension at $0.000010 acts as an immediate resistance, while the 1.618 extension at $0.0000064 serves as a critical support zone. If SHIB closes above $0.000010, it could signal a bullish reversal, potentially propelling the price toward the 0.786 retracement level at $0.0000113 according to technical analysis. Conversely, a failure to hold above $0.000010 risks a retest of the $0.0000064 level, where further bearish momentum may materialize as market data shows.

The psychological significance of these levels cannot be overstated. The 1.0 Fibonacci level represents a confluence of prior support and a psychological barrier for traders. A sustained breakout here could attract algorithmic buying pressure and retail participation, while a breakdown would likely trigger cascading stop-loss orders and liquidations.

RSI and Sentiment: Oversold Conditions and Mixed Signals

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SHIB currently stands at 28.75, firmly in oversold territory. While this historically suggests a potential rebound, the Stochastic RSI-a momentum oscillator-has yet to confirm a bullish crossover according to technical indicators. This divergence highlights lingering bearish sentiment, as traders remain cautious about the asset's fundamentals and broader market conditions.

However, historical patterns suggest a possible short-term bounce. Data from MEXC indicates that SHIB could see a rebound to $0.00001139 within 4-6 weeks if the RSI closes above 30 and volume surges as reported by MEXC. Investors should monitor the 28.75 RSI level closely; a sustained move above 35 would strengthen the case for a near-term reversal.

This dynamic creates a "buy the dip" scenario for opportunistic traders. If SHIB's price stabilizes near the $0.0000064 level, it could attract contrarian buyers seeking discounted entry points. However, liquidity remains thin in the $0.000008–$0.000010 range, amplifying volatility and increasing the risk of slippage during breakouts or breakdowns.

Strategic Implications for Investors

For investors, SHIB's technical profile presents both risks and opportunities:
1. Bullish Scenario: A close above $0.000010 would validate the 0.786 retracement target at $0.0000113. Aggressive traders might consider entering long positions near $0.0000095, with a stop-loss below $0.000008 to mitigate downside risk.
2. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $0.0000064 could accelerate the price toward $0.000005, with short-term traders targeting this zone for profit-taking.
3. Neutral Play: Given the RSI's oversold reading, a "sell the rally" strategy could be viable if SHIB rebounds to $0.00001139, with tight stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected bullish surprises.

Conclusion: A High-Volatility Tightrope

SHIB's near-term outlook hinges on its ability to decisively break out of the $0.0000064–$0.000010 range. While technical indicators hint at a potential rebound, the absence of confirmed bullish momentum (e.g., Stochastic RSI crossover) and fragile liquidity conditions warrant caution. Investors should prioritize risk management, using Fibonacci levels and RSI signals as dynamic guides rather than fixed rules.

As the market approaches December 2025, SHIB's price action will serve as a litmus test for broader risk sentiment in the meme coin sector. Those with a high-risk tolerance may find opportunities in this volatile environment-but only for those who enter with a clear plan and disciplined execution.