Shiba Inu (SHIB)'s Potential Rebound Amid Whale Accumulation and Strong Technical Setup

The Shiba Inu (SHIB) ecosystem has long been a study in volatility, but recent on-chain and technical developments in Q3 2025 suggest a nuanced narrative emerging for the token. While bearish signals persist, a closer examination of whale activity and technical momentum reveals a potential setup for a short-term rebound. This analysis synthesizes on-chain data with technical indicators to assess whether SHIB's current trajectory could signal a turning point for investors.

Whale Accumulation: A Double-Edged Sword

On-chain data from Q3 2025 highlights a surge in whale activity, with over 1.06 trillion SHIB tokens moving to exchanges in a single 24-hour period-the highest level since June 2025 according to TradingView. This spike, coupled with 406 whale transactions exceeding $100,000, underscores significant positioning by large holders. However, the implications are mixed. While some analysts interpret this as a sign of strategic accumulation, others caution that the simultaneous net inflow of tokens onto exchanges suggests preparation for selling rather than long-term holding.

Notably, Santiment data reveals a divergence in whale behavior. Over 4.13 trillion SHIB tokens were transferred out of Coinbase to newly created wallets according to TradingView, hinting at potential accumulation by institutional or high-net-worth investors. Meanwhile, 45 billion SHIB tokens moved off exchanges, reducing immediate liquidation risks and signaling growing confidence among holders. This duality-tokens being hoarded off-exchanges while others flood onto them-creates a volatile backdrop. If whales are indeed accumulating, it could pressure prices upward; if liquidating, the downtrend may persist.

Technical Momentum: A Cautious Optimism

Technical indicators paint a similarly ambiguous picture. SHIB's Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 46.99, indicating a neutral stance with neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains flat at level zero according to MEXC, reflecting weak momentum. However, the token's price action within an ascending channel offers a glimmer of hope. Key support levels at $0.0000076 and $0.0000083 according to CCN have held firm, while resistance at $0.00000912 and $0.00001027 according to MEXC remains untested. A breakout above these levels could catalyze a short-term rally, particularly if bullish volume confirms the move.

The Bull Bear Power (BBP) metric, however, remains negative, and the Supertrend's red line continues to signal overhead resistance. These bearish pressures are compounded by SHIB's position below the 200-day moving average according to CoinMarketCap, a critical psychological threshold for long-term bulls. Yet, the token's 8% weekly gain and modest 0.4% 24-hour increase suggest that buyer sentiment is not entirely extinguished.

The Path to a Rebound: Conditions and Catalysts

For SHIB to capitalize on its current setup, several conditions must align. First, whale accumulation must outweigh exchange inflows. If the 45 billion SHIB tokens moved off exchanges according to CoinMarketCap represent a broader trend of holder confidence, it could reduce selling pressure and stabilize the price. Second, technical indicators must confirm a bullish breakout. A sustained move above $0.00000912 would need to be accompanied by a positive MACD crossover and a surge in volume to validate the trend.

Fundamentally, the success of Shibarium's Layer 2 solution and its token-burning mechanism according to CoinMarketCap remains a wildcard. While adoption has been sluggish, any progress in scaling or utility could attract new buyers, providing the macroeconomic tailwinds needed to push SHIB toward $0.0000093 or even $0.000010 according to CCN. Conversely, a failure to hold the $0.00000614–$0.00000725 support zone would likely deepen the downtrend.

Conclusion: A High-Risk, High-Reward Scenario

Shiba Inu's Q3 2025 dynamics reflect a tug-of-war between bearish inertia and nascent bullish momentum. Whale activity suggests both accumulation and potential liquidation, while technical indicators remain in a holding pattern. For investors, the key lies in monitoring the interplay between on-chain flows and price action. A breakout above critical resistance levels, coupled with a shift in whale behavior toward accumulation, could unlock short-term gains. However, the risks of a further decline remain significant, particularly if macroeconomic conditions or Shibarium adoption fail to improve.

In this volatile environment, patience and caution are paramount. SHIB's potential rebound hinges on whether the current on-chain and technical signals converge into a coherent bullish narrative-or if the bearish undercurrents prove insurmountable.