Shiba Inu's Potential 165% Rally Amid Prolonged Accumulation Phase: A Technical and Market Cycle Deep Dive

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has entered a critical juncture in its price trajectory, with technical and market cycle indicators suggesting a potential 165% rally by late 2025. The token is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic precursor to explosive directional movement. According to a report by CryptoELITES, SHIB's price action near $0.00001238 has formed a tightening triangle, with the apex expected to resolve by late Q3 or early Q4 2025 . This pattern, historically associated with high-probability breakouts, could see SHIB surge to $0.00023 (a 17x increase) if bullish momentum prevails .

Technical Indicators Signal Accumulation and Momentum

SHIB's on-chain metrics reinforce the case for a near-term reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 52.71, indicating neutrality and a lack of overbought or oversold conditions, which reduces the risk of immediate correction . Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has shown bullish divergence, with the histogram expanding despite sideways price action—a sign of gathering buying pressure . Key support at $0.00001159 has held firm historically, and a successful defense of this level could trigger a rebound toward $0.00001698–$0.00002052 .

Analysts at BlockChain News project a 15-20% upside in the coming weeks, citing the retest of a long-term descending wedge as a “healthy consolidation” rather than a bearish reversal . This aligns with broader market sentiment, as SHIB's 1.13% dip to $0.0000128 over the past 24 hours has been attributed to short-term profit-taking rather than structural weakness .

Historical Bull Cycles and Institutional Tailwinds

SHIB's trajectory mirrors historical bull cycles, particularly the 2021–2025 surge that saw the token rally over 300% in a single month . The 2025 bull market, however, is unique in its alignment with institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. As noted by CoinMonkeys, the integration of AI and blockchain technologies, coupled with Bitcoin halving-driven market rallies, positions SHIB to benefit from broader crypto liquidity . A $100 investment in SHIB at its 2020 launch could have yielded $15 million by October 2021 , underscoring the token's volatility and potential for outsized returns.

The current accumulation phase also coincides with deflationary tailwinds. SHIB's burn rate surged 1,661% in a single day, reducing circulating supply and signaling confidence from “smart money” wallets, which increased holdings by 62% in the past month . These mechanisms, combined with a projected 2–3% supply burn by Q3 2025, could amplify price appreciation .

Skepticism and Emerging Competition

Despite these bullish signals, skepticism persists. SHIB has underperformed the broader market, with recent exchange delistings of derivatives and competition from newer meme coins like PEPE and BONK weighing on sentiment . On-chain metrics such as Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) show that 60% of SHIB holders are currently at a loss, exacerbating bearish sentiment .

Moreover, achieving a $1 price tag remains mathematically implausible, requiring a $588.5 trillion market cap—far exceeding global economic benchmarks . Shorter-term targets, such as $0.000045, are more realistic but depend on SHIB reclaiming $0.000019 resistance and sustaining volume above 2.83 trillion tokens .

Contrasting with Emerging Altcoin Opportunities

While SHIB's future hinges on speculative momentum, projects like Rollblock (RBLK) are gaining traction through utility-driven models. Rollblock, a Web3 gaming platform, has raised $11.6 million in presale and attracted 55,000 pre-launch users . Its deflationary tokenomics—allocating 30% of weekly revenue to buybacks and burns—offer a stark contrast to SHIB's meme-driven narrative. Analysts project RBLK could surge 20x–40x as it expands its 12,000-game library and integrates fiat on-ramps via Visa and Mastercard .

Conclusion: A Calculated Bet on SHIB's Breakout

SHIB's consolidation phase presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario. The symmetrical triangle pattern, bullish MACD divergence, and historical bull cycle alignment suggest a 165% rally is plausible by late 2025, provided liquidity returns and resistance levels hold. However, investors must weigh these technical signals against the token's speculative nature and emerging competition. For those seeking utility-driven alternatives, Rollblock's ecosystem and tokenomics offer a compelling case for long-term growth.

As the crypto market approaches its next inflection point, SHIB's ability to break out of its triangle and retest $0.000025 will be a critical test of its resilience—and a potential catalyst for renewed meme coin fervor.

Source:

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