SHIB Price Outlook: Is November 1 a Catalyst for a $0.00001025 Move?

The Shiba Inu (SHIB) token has entered a critical phase of consolidation, trading near $0.00000937 as of late October 2025. With a 3.5% decline in the past 24 hours, market participants are scrutinizing whether the token can stabilize above its key support level at $0.00000909 or break through the short-term resistance at $0.00001032. The question of whether November 1, 2025, could catalyze a move toward $0.00001025 hinges on a delicate interplay of technical indicators, on-chain accumulation dynamics, and emerging institutional interest.

Technical Indicators: A Neutral but Watchful Landscape

SHIB's Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 44.25, with a secondary reading of 33.96, signaling a neutral momentum range devoid of strong bullish or bearish bias, according to a CryptoNewsLand report. This suggests traders are in a holding pattern, awaiting a catalyst to break the current range-bound trading. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains bearish, with a signal line of -21.84M and a histogram of -30.59M, reflecting lingering downward pressure; that CryptoNewsLand piece also highlights the MACD's metrics. However, the MACD's bearish divergence has weakened compared to earlier in the year, hinting at a potential equilibrium forming in the market.

The immediate support level at $0.00000909 is critical. A breach below this threshold could trigger a deeper correction, while a sustained hold above it would validate the current consolidation phase. On the upside, the resistance at $0.00001032 represents a psychological barrier that, if cleared, could pave the way for a test of $0.00001025-a level just shy of the primary resistance.

On-Chain Accumulation: Early Signs of Holder Confidence

On-chain metrics paint a cautiously optimistic picture. In October 2025, approximately 263 billion SHIB tokens were withdrawn from centralized exchanges, signaling a shift to cold storage and indicating early accumulation by long-term holders, according to a Coinotag report. This outflow coincided with a 0.35% decline in exchange reserves, which now stand at 82.66 trillion SHIB, while active addresses on the network rose by 1%, reflecting heightened engagement, as noted in that Coinotag article.

The net exchange outflow of -292 billion SHIB further suggests reduced short-term sell pressure, as retail and institutional investors alike appear to be adopting a "buy and hold" strategy. Such behavior typically precedes price breakouts, as reduced liquidity on exchanges limits the availability of tokens for immediate dumping.

Catalysts on the Horizon: Institutional Recognition and Protocol Upgrades

The most significant catalyst emerging around November 1, 2025, is T. Rowe Price's filing with the U.S. SEC for an actively managed crypto ETF that includes SHIB as an eligible asset for the first time, according to a CoinChapter report. While the fund manager retains discretion over final inclusions, this filing marks a pivotal step toward institutional recognition for the token. Historically, ETF-related news has driven sharp price spikes in crypto assets, as it opens doors for regulated institutional capital.

Simultaneously, the Shiba Inu team unveiled a critical security upgrade for Shibarium, aimed at enhancing decentralization and long-term network reliability, as reported by U.Today. While infrastructure improvements often take months to impact price action, they reinforce the ecosystem's credibility-a factor that could amplify positive sentiment around the ETF filing.

Synthesis: Can SHIB Reach $0.00001025?

For SHIB to achieve the $0.00001025 target, three conditions must align:
1. Technical Validation: SHIB must hold above $0.00000909 to avoid a breakdown, with a subsequent rally to test $0.00001032.
2. On-Chain Momentum: Continued accumulation from exchange outflows and rising active addresses will signal sustained buyer interest.
3. Catalyst Execution: Confirmation of SHIB's inclusion in the T. Rowe Price ETF or other institutional products could provide the necessary upward thrust.

While the RSI and MACD suggest a neutral-to-bearish bias in the short term, the on-chain data and emerging institutional interest tilt the odds in favor of a bullish breakout. However, traders should remain cautious, as a failure to hold above $0.00000909 could negate these positive signals.

Conclusion

The convergence of technical consolidation, on-chain accumulation, and institutional catalysts positions SHIB at a crossroads. November 1, 2025, could serve as a pivotal inflection point if the T. Rowe Price ETF filing translates into tangible demand. For now, the $0.00001025 target remains a plausible scenario, contingent on the token's ability to navigate its immediate support/resistance battleground.