SHIB's Bullish Surge Meets Bearish Risks as Traders Anticipate ETF Clarity
Shiba Inu (SHIB), the popular memeMEME-- coin, has seen a surge in whale activity and price momentum, sparking speculation about a potential rally. Whale transactions involving SHIBSHIB-- have spiked by 70% in 48 hours, with nearly 1 trillion tokens transferred to a single wallet address, signaling increased accumulation and market confidence [2]. Additionally, a massive 2.6 trillion SHIB tokens exited centralized exchanges, reducing circulating supply and potentially creating upward price pressure [3]. Analysts attribute this activity to growing institutional interest and strategic accumulation by large holders.
The SHIB price has shown technical strength, reclaiming key moving averages and posting a 7.38% weekly gain. Currently trading at $0.00001265, the token is positioned above its 7-day SMA, with the MACD histogram turning positive, indicating bullish momentum [1]. A critical resistance level at $0.0000135, marked by the 100-day EMA, has drawn attention. A breakout above this level could propel SHIB toward $0.000015 or higher.

Crypto analyst Javon Marks has forecasted a potential 138% rally for SHIB, projecting a price target of $0.000032. This prediction is based on SHIB's consolidation within a symmetrical triangle pattern and a confirmed bullish signal from technical indicators [2]. Meanwhile, regulatory developments, including Coinbase's launch of SHIB futures under the "1k Shib Index," have bolstered speculation about a potential Shiba InuSHIB-- ETF. The U.S. SEC's updated listing standards for futures-backed ETFs could pave the way for SHIB's inclusion, mirroring the pathway for BitcoinBTC-- and EthereumETH-- [2].
Burn activity has also intensified, with the SHIB burn rate surging 438% in 24 hours, reducing the circulating supply and improving tokenomics. This, combined with ecosystem updates like the stabilization of the Shibarium network post-exploit, has reinforced investor sentiment [1]. However, technical indicators remain mixed. While the RSI hovers near neutral levels, the 20 EMA's bearish crossover below the 50 EMA suggests lingering downward risks . Traders are closely monitoring the 200 EMA as a key support level, with failure to hold above it potentially triggering further declines.
Despite bearish signals, the broader market context remains favorable. SHIB's 24-hour trading volume has surged to $221 million, with market capitalization holding above $7.45 billion [1]. The token's integration into DeFi platforms and NFT initiatives continues to expand its utility, though these developments remain speculative compared to its meme-driven appeal.
The potential for a SHIB rally is further supported by its inclusion in the "ETF-watchlist club" alongside futures-backed cryptos. However, analysts caution that the token's massive supply and dependence on market sentiment make long-term predictions uncertain. While a 138% rally is technically feasible, sustained growth will depend on maintaining whale activity, regulatory clarity, and broader market conditions.
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