SES AI Outlook: Mixed Signals Amid Volatility

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: SES AI is in a volatile technical phase with bearish dominance; market fundamentals are weak, while fund flows remain positive among smaller players.

News Highlights

1. Texas Instruments Discusses Expansion – Texas Instruments (TXN) detailed its plans for capacity growth and industrial and automotive strategies at the Bernstein Conference. While unrelated to SES AI directly, this highlights broader semiconductor sector activity.

2. Remanufactured Robotic Instruments in Use – The first in-human use of a remanufactured da Vinci Xi® robotic instrument marks a milestone in medical tech. While this could indirectly benefit AI-assisted surgical innovation, it’s a small ripple for SES AI.

3. Vodafone Idea’s Fundraise for 5G – Vodafone Idea aims to raise up to Rs 20,000 crore to bolster its financial position and 5G rollout. This underlines capital-raising trends in tech and telecom, which could indirectly influence market sentiment for AI-focused stocks.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

The average analyst rating for SES AI is a simple mean of 4.00, while the performance-weighted rating is 3.70. These scores are relatively neutral, but they contrast with the recent price trend, which has seen a 10.36% rise, suggesting the stock may be overbought.

Key fundamental factor values and model scores:

• Profit-MV: 0.49 (internal diagnostic score: 20.56)
• Net Income / Revenue: -13.30% (internal diagnostic score: 17.17)
• PB-ROE: 106.19 (internal diagnostic score: 19.06)
• ROE (Diluted): -24.54% (internal diagnostic score: 2.04)
• Net Profit / Total Operating Revenue: -340.69% (internal diagnostic score: -5.02)

These mixed fundamentals suggest a weak earnings structure with high return ratios, yet low net profit efficiency. The scores reflect a weak financial profile overall.

Money-Flow Trends

Fund flow patterns for SES AI show a positive small-inflow ratio of 51.46%, indicating retail investor optimism. However, larger money flows are less encouraging: the block inflow ratio is 46.03%, and the overall trend is negative. Large and extra-large investor sentiment is bearish, with inflow ratios at 48.04% and 45.59%, respectively.

This split suggests a mismatch between retail and institutional views, with big money pulling back despite smaller investors still showing some interest.

Key Technical Signals

From a technical perspective, SES AI is under pressure. The technical score is 3.59, indicating a weak outlook. Among recent indicators:

• MACD Death Cross: A bearish signal with an internal diagnostic score of 2.73.
• Inverted Hammer: A bullish signal with an internal diagnostic score of 8.10, but isolated among bearish trends.
• Long Upper Shadow: A neutral-to-bearish pattern with an internal diagnostic score of 2.37.

Notable recent chart patterns include the Inverted Hammer on December 18 and 29, 2025, which could signal a short-term reversal. However, the MACD Death Cross on December 30, 2025, reinforces bearish momentum.

Key insights confirm a weak technical environment, with bearish signals (4) outweighing bullish ones (1) and the market in a volatile, uncertain phase.

Conclusion

SES AI faces a complex mix of mixed fundamentals and bearish technical signals. While small investors remain optimistic and the stock recently experienced a price jump of 10.36%, the internal diagnostic score of 3.59 suggests caution. With bearish indicators dominating and large-money flows pulling back, it may be prudent for investors to consider waiting for a pull-back before engaging more deeply. Keep an eye on upcoming earnings and institutional positioning for further clarity.